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Prostejov B v Bzenec

Prostejov B

4–2Full time

Bzenec

4. liga - Divizie E · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Prostejov B 4–2 Bzenec PROSTEJOV B WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Prostejov B win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Prostejov B win at 52%.
1′Much as we predicted: Prostejov B was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–19–29
1′KICK-OFF Prostejov B v Bzenec
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Prostejov B 1–0 Bzenec
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Prostejov B 1–0 Bzenec
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Prostejov B 1–1 Bzenec
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
40′We said Prostejov B at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–2 · 22–24–55
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Prostejov B win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Bzenec win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Prostejov B win 22%)
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
45′HALF-TIME Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
46′SECOND HALF Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Prostejov B 1–2 Bzenec
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Prostejov B 2–2 Bzenec
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Prostejov B 3–2 Bzenec
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Prostejov B 2–2 Bzenec
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Prostejov B 3–2 Bzenec
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Prostejov B 4–2 Bzenec
FTFULL TIME Prostejov B 4–2 Bzenec
FTProstejov B 4–2 Bzenec · Prostejov B win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Prostejov B win52%

Draw19%

Bzenec win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

Venue · Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · prostejov b winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Prostejov B a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Prostejov B win	52%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Bzenec win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Prostejov B or draw	71%	–	–
Prostejov B clean sheet	16%	–	–
Bzenec clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.2%

0123450 2.4 2.3 1 3.2 6.2 5.5 3.4 2 4.0 7.2 6.6 4.1 3 3.3 5.9 5.4 3.3 4 2.1 3.7 3.4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Prostejov B down, Bzenec across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,096 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Prostejov B at home: 2.00 scored, 2.25 conceded a game (last 4). Bzenec away: 0.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.51 goals for Prostejov B, 1.87 for Bzenec. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E

PROSTEJOV B

DLLDWL3–3 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

BZENEC

LLLLLW3–4 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 3–6 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	9	+22	24
2	Strání	9	+21	22
3	Kozlovice	9	+15	21
4	SK Krumvir	9	+3	19
5	Sokol Lanžhot	9	+4	18
6	Břeclav	9	+5	15
7	Hluk	9	+9	14
8	Šternberk	9	+2	13
9	Slavičín	9	+1	13
10	Prostejov B	9	−1	12
11	Holešov	9	+1	10
12	Brumov	9	−14	7
13	Bzenec	9	−15	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	−10	5
15	Nové Sady	9	−24	4
16	Baťov	9	−19	0