Nové Sady v Kozlovice prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nové SadyDrawKozlovice

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kozlovice 72%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kozlovice are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nové Sady 13%, draw 15%, Kozlovice 72%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Nové Sady v KozloviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Nové Sady win13%

Draw15%

Kozlovice win72%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nové Sady

Kozlovice

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kozlovice winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Kozlovice a 72% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.9, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nové Sady v Kozlovice~~1.10 – 2.88

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 24~~14 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nové Sady win	13%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Kozlovice win	72%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Nové Sady or draw	28%	–	–
Nové Sady clean sheet	7%	–	–
Kozlovice clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.2%

0123450 2.4 5.6 7.6 7.0 5.0 3.11 2.3 6.5 8.2 7.4 5.2 3.22 3.5 4.6 4.1 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nové Sady down, Kozlovice across0–5 goals a side shown (91.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,116 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.7% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nové Sady at home: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kozlovice away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Nové Sady, 2.88 for Kozlovice. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KOZ 2–2 NOV · NOV 0–1 KOZ · NOV 3–1 KOZ · KOZ 1–0 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 11 Sept

NOVÉ SADY

LDWLLW1–3 · 1–1 · 5–3 · 2–3 · 3–4 · 2–0

KOZLOVICE

WWDDWL3–2 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	12	+31	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	Slavičín	12	+7	22
5	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
6	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
7	Prostejov B	12	+4	21
8	Šternberk	12	+2	17
9	Holešov	12	+1	16
10	Hluk	11	+6	15
11	Břeclav	12	0	15
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0