Nové Sady v Břeclav prediction · 4. liga - Divizie E

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Nové Sady 2–0 Břeclav BŘECLAV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Břeclav win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.843

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Břeclav are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nové Sady 27%, draw 21%, Břeclav 52%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Nové Sady v BřeclavBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nové Sady win27%

Draw21%

Břeclav win52%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup E · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nové Sady

Břeclav

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Břeclav	10	+4	15
15	Nové Sady	10	−25	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · břeclav winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Břeclav a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nové Sady v Břeclav~~1.46 – 2.12

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 15~~15 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nové Sady win	27%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Břeclav win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Nové Sady or draw	48%	–	–
Nové Sady clean sheet	13%	–	–
Břeclav clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.4 5.9 6.1 4.3 2.4 1 4.2 8.9 8.6 6.0 3.3 2 3.3 6.3 6.2 4.3 2.3 3 3.1 3.1 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nové Sady down, Břeclav across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,104 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nové Sady at home: 0.83 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Břeclav away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Nové Sady, 2.12 for Břeclav. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NOV 1–3 BRE · BRE 2–4 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept

NOVÉ SADY

LLDWLL0–6 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 5–3 · 2–3 · 3–4

BŘECLAV

WWLDDL5–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	+29	27
2	Strání	10	+23	25
3	Kozlovice	10	+18	24
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	+5	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	+2	19
6	Šternberk	10	+3	16
7	Slavičín	10	+3	16
8	Břeclav	10	+4	15
9	Prostejov B	10	+1	15
10	Hluk	10	+6	14
11	Holešov	10	+2	13
12	Brumov	10	−16	7
13	Bzenec	10	−17	6
14	Kroměříž II	10	−12	5
15	Nové Sady	10	−25	4
16	Baťov	10	−26	0