Kroměříž II v Strání prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání STRÁNÍ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Strání win~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.126

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Strání win at 71%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Strání 71% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 12–16–72
5′Little has changed for our model: Strání 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 12–16–71
45′We said Strání at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 3–11–86
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 65% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Kroměříž II 0–1 Strání
46′SECOND HALF Kroměříž II 0–1 Strání
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Strání win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Kroměříž II 0–2 Strání
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Kroměříž II 0–2 Strání
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Kroměříž II 0–2 Strání
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Kroměříž II 1–2 Strání
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Kroměříž II 1–2 Strání
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Kroměříž II 1–2 Strání
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
FTFULL TIME Kroměříž II 1–3 Strání
FTKroměříž II 1–3 Strání · Strání win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kroměříž II win13%

Draw16%

Strání win71%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kroměříž II

Strání

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Strání	9	+21	22
14	Kroměříž II	9	−10	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · strání winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Strání a 71% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.7, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kroměříž II win	13%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Strání win	71%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Kroměříž II or draw	29%	–	–
Kroměříž II clean sheet	8%	–	–
Strání clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.7%

0123450 3.0 6.7 8.7 7.6 5.2 2.91 2.6 7.1 8.7 7.5 5.0 2.82 3.6 4.5 3.8 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kroměříž II down, Strání across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,102 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.1% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kroměříž II at home: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Strání away: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Kroměříž II, 2.68 for Strání. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KRO 0–2 STR · STR 1–0 KRO

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E

KROMĚŘÍŽ II

LLWDLL0–1 · 2–3 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–1

STRÁNÍ

WWWWWL9–0 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 6–3 · 5–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	+29	27
2	Kozlovice	10	+18	24
3	Strání	9	+21	22
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	+5	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	+2	19
6	Šternberk	10	+3	16
7	Břeclav	10	+4	15
8	Prostejov B	10	+1	15
9	Hluk	10	+6	14
10	Holešov	10	+2	13
11	Slavičín	9	+1	13
12	Brumov	9	−14	7
13	Bzenec	10	−17	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	−10	5
15	Nové Sady	10	−25	4
16	Baťov	10	−26	0