Kozlovice v Sokol Lanžhot prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KozloviceDrawSokol Lanžhot

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kozlovice 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kozlovice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kozlovice 53%, draw 24%, Sokol Lanžhot 23%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Kozlovice v Sokol LanžhotBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kozlovice win53%

Draw24%

Sokol Lanžhot win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kozlovice

Sokol Lanžhot

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
6	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kozlovice winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Kozlovice a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kozlovice v Sokol Lanžhot~~1.77 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 24 v 22~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kozlovice win	53%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Sokol Lanžhot win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Kozlovice or draw	77%	–	–
Kozlovice clean sheet	34%	–	–
Sokol Lanžhot clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.5 6.1 3.5 1 9.9 11.2 5.9 2.2 2 8.9 9.4 5.1 3 5.2 5.5 3.0 4 2.4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kozlovice down, Sokol Lanžhot across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,116 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.7% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kozlovice at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sokol Lanžhot away: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Kozlovice, 1.09 for Sokol Lanžhot. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SOK 3–0 KOZ · KOZ 1–1 SOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 11 Sept

KOZLOVICE

WWDDWL3–2 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–3

SOKOL LANŽHOT

WWWWWD3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 4–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	12	+31	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	Slavičín	12	+7	22
5	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
6	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
7	Prostejov B	12	+4	21
8	Šternberk	12	+2	17
9	Holešov	12	+1	16
10	Hluk	11	+6	15
11	Břeclav	12	0	15
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0