Holešov v Tatran Všechovice prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Holešov 2–1 Tatran Všechovice TATRAN VŠECHOVICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tatran Všechovice win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.958

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tatran Všechovice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Holešov 23%, draw 19%, Tatran Všechovice 58%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Holešov v Tatran VšechoviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Holešov win23%

Draw19%

Tatran Všechovice win58%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

VenueStadion Strelnice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Holešov

Tatran Všechovice

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tatran všechovice winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Tatran Všechovice a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Holešov v Tatran Všechovice~~1.52 – 2.50

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 30~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tatran Všechovice win

Published at 57%, 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Holešov win	23%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Tatran Všechovice win	58%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Holešov or draw	42%	–	–
Holešov clean sheet	9%	–	–
Tatran Všechovice clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.2%

0123450 2.2 4.5 5.6 4.6 3.0 1 2.8 7.1 8.2 6.6 4.2 2.22 2.3 5.2 6.2 5.0 3.1 3 2.7 3.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Holešov down, Tatran Všechovice across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,113 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.30 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Holešov at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tatran Všechovice away: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Holešov, 2.50 for Tatran Všechovice. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.30

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TAT 3–1 HOL · HOL 1–5 TAT · TAT 4–2 HOL · HOL 1–3 TAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept

HOLEŠOV

LDDLWL1–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 4–3 · 0–2

TATRAN VŠECHOVICE

LWWWWW3–4 · 6–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 7–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	11	+32	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
5	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
6	Slavičín	11	+5	19
7	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
8	Šternberk	11	+3	17
9	Hluk	11	+6	15
10	Břeclav	11	+2	15
11	Holešov	11	0	13
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0