Hluk v Nové Sady prediction · 4. liga - Divizie E

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HlukDrawNové Sady

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hluk 74%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hluk are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hluk 74%, draw 14%, Nové Sady 12%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Hluk v Nové SadyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hluk win74%

Draw14%

Nové Sady win12%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hluk

Nové Sady

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Hluk	11	+6	15
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hluk winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Hluk a 74% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hluk v Nové Sady~~3.11 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D4 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 7~~9 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hluk win	74%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Nové Sady win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Hluk or draw	88%	–	–
Hluk clean sheet	32%	–	–
Nové Sady clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 1 4.5 5.5 3.2 2 6.7 7.7 4.5 3 6.6 7.5 4.4 4 5.1 5.7 3.3 5 3.2 3.6 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Hluk down, Nové Sady across0–5 goals a side shown (88.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,113 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hluk at home: 2.80 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 5). Nové Sady away: 2.33 scored, 4.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.11 goals for Hluk, 1.17 for Nové Sady. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept

HLUK

WDDDLD3–1 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 1–1

NOVÉ SADY

LDWLLW1–3 · 1–1 · 5–3 · 2–3 · 3–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	11	+32	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
5	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
6	Slavičín	11	+5	19
7	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
8	Šternberk	11	+3	17
9	Hluk	11	+6	15
10	Břeclav	11	+2	15
11	Holešov	11	0	13
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0