Bzenec v Baťov prediction · 4. liga - Divizie E

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Bzenec 7–0 Baťov BZENEC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bzenec win~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.178

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bzenec are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bzenec 66%, draw 16%, Baťov 18%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Bzenec v BaťovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bzenec win66%

Draw16%

Baťov win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup E · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bzenec

Baťov

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Bzenec	10	−17	6
16	Baťov	10	−26	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bzenec winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Bzenec a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bzenec v Baťov~~2.93 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 6 v 0~~13 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bzenec win	66%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Baťov win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Bzenec or draw	82%	–	–
Bzenec clean sheet	23%	–	–
Baťov clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.5%

0123450 1 3.7 5.6 4.0 2.0 2 5.2 7.5 5.5 2.8 3 4.9 7.0 5.2 2.6 4 3.5 5.1 3.8 5 2.1 3.0 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Bzenec down, Baťov across0–5 goals a side shown (90.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,104 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bzenec at home: 1.50 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Baťov away: 0.50 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.93 goals for Bzenec, 1.51 for Baťov. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAT 1–3 BZE · BZE 0–1 BAT · BZE 3–0 BAT · BAT 2–3 BZE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept

BZENEC

LLLLWL0–4 · 1–3 · 3–6 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–4

BAŤOV

LLLLLL0–6 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 3–5 · 2–4 · 0–7

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	+29	27
2	Strání	10	+23	25
3	Kozlovice	10	+18	24
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	+5	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	+2	19
6	Šternberk	10	+3	16
7	Slavičín	10	+3	16
8	Břeclav	10	+4	15
9	Prostejov B	10	+1	15
10	Hluk	10	+6	14
11	Holešov	10	+2	13
12	Brumov	10	−16	7
13	Bzenec	10	−17	6
14	Kroměříž II	10	−12	5
15	Nové Sady	10	−25	4
16	Baťov	10	−26	0