Brumov v Bzenec prediction · 4. liga - Divizie E

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BrumovDrawBzenec

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Bzenec 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Bzenec just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Brumov 39%, draw 20%, Bzenec 41%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on Brumov v BzenecBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Brumov win39%

Draw20%

Bzenec win41%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brumov

Bzenec

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bzenec winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Bzenec a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–2.2, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brumov v Bzenec~~2.12 – 2.17

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 9~~13 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brumov win	39%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Bzenec win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Brumov or draw	59%	–	–
Brumov clean sheet	12%	–	–
Bzenec clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.9%

0123450 3.0 3.4 2.4 1 3.0 6.6 6.7 4.8 2.6 2 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.9 2.7 3 2.2 4.6 4.8 3.4 4 2.5 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brumov down, Bzenec across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,116 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.7% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brumov at home: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bzenec away: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Brumov, 2.17 for Bzenec. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BRU 3–2 BZE · BZE 1–1 BRU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept

BRUMOV

LLLWLL1–3 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 0–3

BZENEC

LLLWLW1–3 · 3–6 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 7–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	12	+31	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	Slavičín	12	+7	22
5	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
6	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
7	Prostejov B	12	+4	21
8	Šternberk	12	+2	17
9	Holešov	12	+1	16
10	Hluk	11	+6	15
11	Břeclav	12	0	15
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0