Břeclav v Slavičín prediction · 4. liga - Divizie E

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Břeclav 0–2 Slavičín BŘECLAV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Břeclav win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.606

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Břeclav win at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: Břeclav was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–37
1′KICK-OFF Břeclav v Slavičín
26′We said Břeclav at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–21–65
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Břeclav 0–1 Slavičín
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Břeclav win: 38% at kick-off, 14% now
26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Slavičín win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Břeclav win 35%)
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 13–21–66
45′HALF-TIME Břeclav 0–1 Slavičín
45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Slavičín
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Břeclav win: 38% at kick-off, 31% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Slavičín win 69%)
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Břeclav 0–1 Slavičín
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Břeclav win: 38% at kick-off, 10% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Slavičín win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 38%)
46′We said Břeclav at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
46′SECOND HALF Břeclav 0–1 Slavičín
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Břeclav 0–1 Slavičín
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Břeclav win: 38% at kick-off, 9% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Slavičín win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 38%)
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Břeclav win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
58′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 27–46–27 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
65′We said Břeclav at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Břeclav 0–2 Slavičín
FTFULL TIME Břeclav 0–2 Slavičín
FTBřeclav 0–2 Slavičín · Břeclav win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Břeclav just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Břeclav 38%, draw 25%, Slavičín 37%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Břeclav v SlavičínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Břeclav win38%

Draw25%

Slavičín win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Břeclav

Slavičín

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Slavičín	11	+5	19
10	Břeclav	11	+2	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · břeclav winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Břeclav a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Břeclav v Slavičín~~1.45 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 19~~10 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Břeclav win

Published at 39%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Břeclav win	38%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Slavičín win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Břeclav or draw	63%	–	–
Břeclav clean sheet	25%	–	–
Slavičín clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.3 7.8 5.8 2.8 1 7.9 11.7 8.0 3.9 2 5.9 8.2 5.8 2.8 3 2.9 4.0 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Břeclav down, Slavičín across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,113 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Břeclav at home: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Slavičín away: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Břeclav, 1.43 for Slavičín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SLA 2–0 BRE · BRE 2–3 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept

BŘECLAV

WLDDLL2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 0–2

SLAVIČÍN

WDLWWW3–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	11	+32	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
5	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
6	Slavičín	11	+5	19
7	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
8	Šternberk	11	+3	17
9	Hluk	11	+6	15
10	Břeclav	11	+2	15
11	Holešov	11	0	13
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0