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Znojmo v Sokol Tasovice

Znojmo

1–0Full time

Sokol Tasovice

4. liga - Divizie D · SUN 18 OCT · Mestsky stadion v Hornim parku

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Znojmo 1–0 Sokol Tasovice ZNOJMO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Znojmo win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.223

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Znojmo win at 61%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Znojmo 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–19–19
1′KICK-OFF Znojmo v Sokol Tasovice
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
45′We said Znojmo at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–31–20
45′HALF-TIME Znojmo 0–0 Sokol Tasovice
46′SECOND HALF Znojmo 0–0 Sokol Tasovice
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 45–36–19
56′We said Znojmo at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
63′We said Znojmo at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Znojmo win 39%)
69′We said Znojmo at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
74′We said Znojmo at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–2
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Znojmo 1–0 Sokol Tasovice
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 86% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Znojmo win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
79′We said Znojmo at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–0 · 22–67–11
80′We said Znojmo at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
80′GOAL DISALLOWED · 80' Znojmo
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Znojmo win 21%)
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Znojmo 1–0 Sokol Tasovice
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 90% now
80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Znojmo win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 10%)
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Znojmo win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
88′We said Znojmo at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
FTFULL TIME Znojmo 1–0 Sokol Tasovice
FTZnojmo 1–0 Sokol Tasovice · Znojmo win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Znojmo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Znojmo 61%, draw 19%, Sokol Tasovice 19%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Znojmo v Sokol TasoviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Znojmo win61%

Draw19%

Sokol Tasovice win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup D · matchday 12

VenueMestsky stadion v Hornim parku

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Znojmo

Sokol Tasovice

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Sokol Tasovice	10	+8	17
8	Znojmo	10	+5	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · znojmo winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Znojmo a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Znojmo v Sokol Tasovice~~2.43 – 1.30

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 17~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Znojmo win	61%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Znojmo or draw	81%	–	–
Znojmo clean sheet	28%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.0 3.0 2.1 1 5.7 8.0 4.9 2.1 2 7.1 8.9 5.7 2.5 3 5.7 7.1 4.6 2.0 4 3.5 4.3 2.8 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Znojmo down, Sokol Tasovice across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,168 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.9% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Znojmo at home: 3.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sokol Tasovice away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Znojmo, 1.30 for Sokol Tasovice. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZNO 2–3 SOK · SOK 1–0 ZNO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 5 Sept

ZNOJMO

WWLDLL6–1 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–4

SOKOL TASOVICE

DDLDWW1–1 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sparta Brno	11	+8	22
2	Tatran Bohunice	11	+13	21
3	Velká Bíteš	10	+8	21
4	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
5	Kuřim	10	+25	19
6	Havlíčkův Brod	10	+7	19
7	Sokol Tasovice	10	+8	17
8	Znojmo	10	+5	15
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	11	+3	14
11	Chotebor	11	−11	10
12	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
13	Humpolec	10	−5	9
14	Ždírec nad Doubravou	10	−7	9
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	10	−3	8
16	Bedrichov	11	−38	2