Ždírec nad Doubravou v Chotebor prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ždírec nad DoubravouDrawChotebor

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ždírec nad Doubravou 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ždírec nad Doubravou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ždírec nad Doubravou 47%, draw 25%, Chotebor 27%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Ždírec nad Doubravou v ChoteborBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ždírec nad Doubravou win47%

Draw25%

Chotebor win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ždírec nad Doubravou

Chotebor

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ždírec nad doubravou winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Ždírec nad Doubravou a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ždírec nad Doubravou v Chotebor~~1.63 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 10~~12 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ždírec nad Doubravou win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Chotebor win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Ždírec nad Doubravou or draw	73%	–	–
Ždírec nad Doubravou clean sheet	32%	–	–
Chotebor clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.9 6.7 4.2 1 9.5 11.8 6.6 2.6 2 8.0 9.1 5.3 2.1 3 4.4 5.0 2.9 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ždírec nad Doubravou down, Chotebor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,176 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.0% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ždírec nad Doubravou at home: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Chotebor away: 0.83 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Ždírec nad Doubravou, 1.17 for Chotebor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ZDI 1–0 CHO · CHO 1–0 ZDI · CHO 3–2 ZDI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept

ŽDÍREC NAD DOUBRAVOU

WLWLDD3–0 · 1–6 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–2

CHOTEBOR

DWDLLD0–0 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	12	+34	25
2	Sparta Brno	12	+11	25
3	Tatran Bohunice	12	+14	24
4	Velká Bíteš	12	+8	24
5	Havlíčkův Brod	12	+5	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	12	+5	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	12	−4	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	12	−41	2