Žďár nad Sázavou v Ždírec nad Doubravou

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Žďár nad Sázavou win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Žďár nad Sázavou was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–25–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Žďár nad Sázavou v Ždírec nad Doubravou
4. 11′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–10
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Žďár nad Sázavou 1–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 74–17–8
8. 31′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
9. 34′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
10. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Žďár nad Sázavou 2–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
11. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Žďár nad Sázavou 2–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
13. 46′SECOND HALF Žďár nad Sázavou 2–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
14. 49′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–40–23
15. 49′GOAL DISALLOWED · 49' Žďár nad Sázavou
16. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 37% now
17. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Žďár nad Sázavou 2–0 Ždírec nad Doubravou
18. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
19. 50′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
20. 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 78–17–5
21. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Žďár nad Sázavou 2–1 Ždírec nad Doubravou
22. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
23. 58′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–46–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
24. 58′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–46–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
25. 61′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
26. 69′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 26–57–17
27. 69′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 26–57–17
28. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Žďár nad Sázavou 2–2 Ždírec nad Doubravou
29. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 26% now
30. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Žďár nad Sázavou win 26%)
31. 71′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–59–16
32. 74′We published Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
33. 77′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–13
34. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
35. 81′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
36. 85′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–6
37. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Žďár nad Sázavou win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
38. 91′We said Žďár nad Sázavou at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–3
39. FTFULL TIME Žďár nad Sázavou 2–2 Ždírec nad Doubravou
40. FTŽďár nad Sázavou 2–2 Ždírec nad Doubravou · Žďár nad Sázavou win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.