Velké Meziříčí v FS Třebíč prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Velké MeziříčíDrawFS Třebíč

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Velké Meziříčí 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Velké Meziříčí are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Velké Meziříčí 49%, draw 22%, FS Třebíč 29%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Velké Meziříčí v FS TřebíčBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Velké Meziříčí win49%

Draw22%

FS Třebíč win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Velké Meziříčí

FS Třebíč

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · velké meziříčí winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Velké Meziříčí a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Velké Meziříčí v FS Třebíč~~2.04 – 1.53

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 20~~14 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Velké Meziříčí win	49%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
FS Třebíč win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Velké Meziříčí or draw	71%	–	–
Velké Meziříčí clean sheet	22%	–	–
FS Třebíč clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.5 4.1 3.4 1 5.6 9.2 6.6 3.4 2 5.9 8.7 6.5 3.3 3 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.3 4 2.1 3.0 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Velké Meziříčí down, FS Třebíč across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,176 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.0% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Velké Meziříčí at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). FS Třebíč away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.04 goals for Velké Meziříčí, 1.53 for FS Třebíč. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~FST 3–1 VEL · VEL 1–3 FST · FST 1–1 VEL · VEL 2–0 FST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept

VELKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ

LLWLDL0–5 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 4–4 · 1–5

FS TŘEBÍČ

WWDWDW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	12	+34	25
2	Sparta Brno	12	+11	25
3	Tatran Bohunice	12	+14	24
4	Velká Bíteš	12	+8	24
5	Havlíčkův Brod	12	+5	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	12	+5	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	12	−4	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	12	−41	2