Velké Meziříčí v Bystrc Kníničky prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:11

Velké Meziříčí 4–4 Bystrc Kníničky VELKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Velké Meziříčí win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.871

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Velké Meziříčí win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: Velké Meziříčí was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–24–33
1′KICK-OFF Velké Meziříčí v Bystrc Kníničky
6′Much as we predicted: Velké Meziříčí was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–24–32
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Velké Meziříčí 0–1 Bystrc Kníničky
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Velké Meziříčí 1–1 Bystrc Kníničky
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Velké Meziříčí 1–2 Bystrc Kníničky
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Velké Meziříčí 1–3 Bystrc Kníničky
45′HALF-TIME Velké Meziříčí 1–3 Bystrc Kníničky
46′SECOND HALF Velké Meziříčí 1–3 Bystrc Kníničky
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Velké Meziříčí 2–3 Bystrc Kníničky
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Velké Meziříčí 3–3 Bystrc Kníničky
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Velké Meziříčí 3–4 Bystrc Kníničky
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Velké Meziříčí 4–4 Bystrc Kníničky
FTFULL TIME Velké Meziříčí 4–4 Bystrc Kníničky
FTVelké Meziříčí 4–4 Bystrc Kníničky · Velké Meziříčí win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Velké Meziříčí win43%

Draw24%

Bystrc Kníničky win33%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Velké Meziříčí

Bystrc Kníničky

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Bystrc Kníničky	9	−1	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	9	−10	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · velké meziříčí winPublished 11 Oct 09:04

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Velké Meziříčí a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Velké Meziříčí win	43%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Velké Meziříčí or draw	67%	–	–
Velké Meziříčí clean sheet	24%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.1 6.0 4.6 2.2 1 7.0 10.8 7.4 3.6 2 6.2 8.6 6.1 3.0 3 3.6 4.9 3.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Velké Meziříčí down, Bystrc Kníničky across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,160 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Velké Meziříčí at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bystrc Kníničky away: 1.50 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Velké Meziříčí, 1.45 for Bystrc Kníničky. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D

VELKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ

DWLLWL3–3 · 3–2 · 0–5 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–3

BYSTRC KNÍNIČKY

WDDLLW2–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Bohunice	10	+13	20
2	Kuřim	10	+25	19
3	Havlíčkův Brod	10	+7	19
4	Velká Bíteš	9	+5	18
5	FS Třebíč	10	−4	17
6	Sparta Brno	9	+1	16
7	Znojmo	10	+5	15
8	Pelhřimov	9	+8	14
9	Sokol Tasovice	9	+5	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	9	−1	10
11	Humpolec	9	−2	9
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	10	−7	9
13	Chotebor	9	−8	9
14	Velké Meziříčí	9	−10	9
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	10	−3	8
16	Bedrichov	10	−34	2