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Velká Bíteš v Kuřim
Velká Bíteš
Kuřim4. liga - Divizie D · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kuřim win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kuřim 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Velká Bíteš v Kuřim
- 29′We said Kuřim at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 11–18–71
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Velká Bíteš 0–1 Kuřim
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 71% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 11–18–71
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Velká Bíteš 1–1 Kuřim
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 42% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Velká Bíteš 1–1 Kuřim
- 46′SECOND HALF Velká Bíteš 1–1 Kuřim
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 48' Velká Bíteš
- 48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 48' Kuřim
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Velká Bíteš 1–1 Kuřim
- 54′We said Kuřim at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 26–39–35
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Kuřim win 35%)
- 56′We said Kuřim at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 25–40–34
- 57′Goalless on 57′ when we expected about 3.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–41–34 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 66′We said Kuřim at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 72′We said Kuřim at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–2 · 3–16–81
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Velká Bíteš 1–2 Kuřim
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 81% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Kuřim win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 16%)
- 77′We said Kuřim at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 15–65–20
- 77′We said Kuřim at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
- 77′GOAL DISALLOWED · 77' Kuřim
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 20% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Kuřim win 20%)
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Velká Bíteš 1–2 Kuřim
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 85% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Kuřim win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 14%)
- 78′We said Kuřim at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 1–3 · 0–1–99
- 78′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Velká Bíteš 1–3 Kuřim
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Kuřim win: 47% at kick-off, 99% now
- 84′We said Kuřim at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Velká Bíteš 1–3 Kuřim
- FTVelká Bíteš 1–3 Kuřim · Kuřim win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kuřim are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Velká Bíteš 31%, draw 23%, Kuřim 47%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Velká Bíteš win31%
Kuřim win47%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup D · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Velká BítešMIN
KuřimEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Velká Bíteš
Kuřim
Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D
Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kuřim a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velká Bíteš win | 31% | 36% | −5 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Kuřim win | 47% | 38% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 60% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 62% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 80% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 39% | +4 |
| Velká Bíteš or draw | 53% | 62% | −9 |
| Velká Bíteš clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Kuřim clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 5 Sept
VELKÁ BÍTEŠ
KUŘIM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Brno | 11 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Tatran Bohunice | 11 | +13 | 21 |
| 3 | Velká Bíteš | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | FS Třebíč | 11 | −2 | 20 |
| 5 | Kuřim | 10 | +25 | 19 |
| 6 | Havlíčkův Brod | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Sokol Tasovice | 10 | +8 | 17 |
| 8 | Znojmo | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Chotebor | 11 | −11 | 10 |
| 12 | Velké Meziříčí | 11 | −14 | 10 |
| 13 | Humpolec | 10 | −5 | 9 |
| 14 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 15 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 10 | −3 | 8 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 11 | −38 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sparta Brno
Tatran Bohunice
FS Třebíč
Havlíčkův Brod
Sokol Tasovice
Znojmo
Pelhřimov
Bystrc Kníničky
Chotebor
Velké Meziříčí
Humpolec
Ždírec nad Doubravou
Žďár nad Sázavou
Bedrichov