Sokol Tasovice v Humpolec prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sokol TasoviceDrawHumpolec

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sokol Tasovice 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sokol Tasovice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sokol Tasovice 51%, draw 24%, Humpolec 26%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Sokol Tasovice v HumpolecBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Sokol Tasovice win51%

Draw24%

Humpolec win26%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sokol Tasovice

Humpolec

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sokol tasovice winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Sokol Tasovice a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sokol Tasovice v Humpolec~~1.84 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 10~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sokol Tasovice win	51%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Humpolec win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice or draw	74%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice clean sheet	30%	–	–
Humpolec clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.4 5.4 3.6 1 8.1 10.8 6.4 2.7 2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 4.7 5.7 3.5 4 2.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sokol Tasovice down, Humpolec across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,172 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sokol Tasovice at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Humpolec away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.84 goals for Sokol Tasovice, 1.24 for Humpolec. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HUM 6–0 SOK · SOK 1–2 HUM · HUM 2–1 SOK · SOK 3–1 HUM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept

SOKOL TASOVICE

DLDWWL0–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 0–1

HUMPOLEC

LWDWLD1–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	12	+34	25
2	Sparta Brno	12	+11	25
3	Tatran Bohunice	12	+14	24
4	Velká Bíteš	11	+6	21
5	Havlíčkův Brod	11	+7	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	12	+5	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	12	−4	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	12	−41	2