Sokol Tasovice v Chotebor prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Sokol Tasovice 4–1 Chotebor SOKOL TASOVICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sokol Tasovice win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.307

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sokol Tasovice win55%

Draw23%

Chotebor win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sokol Tasovice

Chotebor

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Sokol Tasovice	9	+5	14
13	Chotebor	9	−8	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sokol tasovice winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Sokol Tasovice a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sokol tasovice win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sokol Tasovice win	55%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Chotebor win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice or draw	78%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice clean sheet	33%	–	–
Chotebor clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.6 5.1 3.1 1 8.9 10.6 5.7 2.2 2 8.7 9.5 5.3 2.1 3 5.5 6.0 3.4 4 2.7 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sokol Tasovice down, Chotebor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,160 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sokol Tasovice at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Chotebor away: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Sokol Tasovice, 1.13 for Chotebor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CHO 3–1 SOK · SOK 3–0 CHO

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D

SOKOL TASOVICE

WDDLDW4–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0

CHOTEBOR

LWDWDL0–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Bohunice	10	+13	20
2	Kuřim	10	+25	19
3	Havlíčkův Brod	10	+7	19
4	Velká Bíteš	9	+5	18
5	FS Třebíč	10	−4	17
6	Sparta Brno	9	+1	16
7	Znojmo	10	+5	15
8	Pelhřimov	9	+8	14
9	Sokol Tasovice	9	+5	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	9	−1	10
11	Humpolec	9	−2	9
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	10	−7	9
13	Chotebor	9	−8	9
14	Velké Meziříčí	9	−10	9
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	10	−3	8
16	Bedrichov	10	−34	2