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Kuřim v Bystrc Kníničky

Kuřim

7–0Full time

Bystrc Kníničky

4. liga - Divizie D · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Kuřim 7–0 Bystrc Kníničky KUŘIM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kuřim win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.083

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 37 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kuřim win at 77%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Kuřim 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–14–10
1′KICK-OFF Kuřim v Bystrc Kníničky
8′We said Kuřim at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–7–3
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
13′GOAL DISALLOWED · 13' Kuřim
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 74% now
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
17′We said Kuřim at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–7–3
20′GOAL DISALLOWED · 20' Kuřim
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 72% now
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 89% now
25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Kuřim
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 70% now
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 89% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 89–8–3
40′We said Kuřim at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–24–12 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
45′HALF-TIME Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
46′SECOND HALF Kuřim 1–0 Bystrc Kníničky
49′We said Kuřim at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Kuřim 2–0 Bystrc Kníničky
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 98% now
51′We said Kuřim at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Kuřim 3–0 Bystrc Kníničky
59′That is 4, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Kuřim 4–0 Bystrc Kníničky
60′5 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Kuřim 5–0 Bystrc Kníničky
68′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 6–0 · 100–0–0
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Kuřim 6–0 Bystrc Kníničky
82′We said Kuřim at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–0 · 22–72–6
82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Kuřim
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 22% now
82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Kuřim win over 99%)
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Kuřim 6–0 Bystrc Kníničky
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, over 99% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Kuřim win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 72%)
84′7 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 7–0 · 100–0–0
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Kuřim 7–0 Bystrc Kníničky
90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Kuřim
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, 9% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Kuřim win over 99%)
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kuřim 7–0 Bystrc Kníničky
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Kuřim win: 77% at kick-off, over 99% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Kuřim win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 88%)
FTFULL TIME Kuřim 7–0 Bystrc Kníničky
FTKuřim 7–0 Bystrc Kníničky · Kuřim win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kuřim are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kuřim 77%, draw 14%, Bystrc Kníničky 9%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Kuřim v Bystrc KníničkyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Kuřim win77%

Draw14%

Bystrc Kníničky win9%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kuřim

Bystrc Kníničky

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kuřim winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Kuřim a 77% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kuřim v Bystrc Kníničky~~2.99 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 14~~1 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kuřim win

Published at 76%, 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kuřim win	77%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Kuřim or draw	91%	–	–
Kuřim clean sheet	39%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.6%

0123450 2.5 1 5.9 6.0 2.8 2 8.6 8.0 3.9 3 8.3 7.7 3.7 4 6.2 5.7 2.7 5 3.8 3.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kuřim down, Bystrc Kníničky across0–5 goals a side shown (90.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,172 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kuřim at home: 3.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bystrc Kníničky away: 2.00 scored, 1.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.99 goals for Kuřim, 0.96 for Bystrc Kníničky. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept

KUŘIM

LWLWWW0–3 · 6–1 · 2–4 · 3–0 · 13–0 · 3–1

BYSTRC KNÍNIČKY

DLLWDW0–0 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 4–4 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	11	+27	22
2	Sparta Brno	11	+8	22
3	Tatran Bohunice	11	+13	21
4	Velká Bíteš	11	+6	21
5	Havlíčkův Brod	11	+7	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	11	+6	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	11	+3	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	11	−38	2