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Havlíčkův Brod v Znojmo

Havlíčkův Brod

4–2Full time

Znojmo

4. liga - Divizie D · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:52

Havlíčkův Brod 4–2 Znojmo ZNOJMO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Znojmo win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.588

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Havlíčkův Brod win38%

Draw24%

Znojmo win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · znojmo winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Znojmo a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Havlíčkův Brod win	38%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Znojmo win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod or draw	62%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod clean sheet	20%	–	–
Znojmo clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 4.7 6.1 5.2 2.8 1 6.1 10.6 8.1 4.4 2 5.2 8.1 6.4 3.5 3 2.8 4.4 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Havlíčkův Brod down, Znojmo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,156 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.3% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Havlíčkův Brod at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Znojmo away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Havlíčkův Brod, 1.62 for Znojmo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAV 5–0 ZNO · ZNO 2–1 HAV

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D

HAVLÍČKŮV BROD

LDWLWW1–3 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 1–0

ZNOJMO

WWWLDL3–0 · 6–1 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Velká Bíteš	9	+5	18
2	Tatran Bohunice	9	+12	17
3	Kuřim	9	+12	16
4	Havlíčkův Brod	9	+5	16
5	Sparta Brno	9	+1	16
6	FS Třebíč	9	−4	16
7	Znojmo	9	+7	15
8	Pelhřimov	9	+8	14
9	Sokol Tasovice	9	+5	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	9	−1	10
11	Humpolec	9	−2	9
12	Chotebor	9	−8	9
13	Velké Meziříčí	9	−10	9
14	Žďár nad Sázavou	9	−2	8
15	Ždírec nad Doubravou	9	−7	8
16	Bedrichov	9	−21	2