Havlíčkův Brod v Velká Bíteš prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Havlíčkův Brod 0–2 Velká Bíteš HAVLÍČKŮV BROD WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Havlíčkův Brod win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.661

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Havlíčkův Brod are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Havlíčkův Brod 41%, draw 24%, Velká Bíteš 34%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Havlíčkův Brod v Velká BítešBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Havlíčkův Brod win41%

Draw24%

Velká Bíteš win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Havlíčkův Brod

Velká Bíteš

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Velká Bíteš	11	+6	21
5	Havlíčkův Brod	11	+7	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · havlíčkův brod winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Havlíčkův Brod a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Havlíčkův Brod v Velká Bíteš~~1.67 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 21~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Havlíčkův Brod win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Havlíčkův Brod win	41%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Velká Bíteš win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod or draw	66%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod clean sheet	23%	–	–
Velká Bíteš clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.9 6.0 4.8 2.4 1 6.7 10.8 7.7 3.9 2 5.9 8.5 6.3 3.2 3 3.3 4.8 3.5 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Havlíčkův Brod down, Velká Bíteš across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,172 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Havlíčkův Brod at home: 2.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Velká Bíteš away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Havlíčkův Brod, 1.51 for Velká Bíteš. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~VEL 1–0 HAV · HAV 1–2 VEL · HAV 2–0 VEL · VEL 2–6 HAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept

HAVLÍČKŮV BROD

WLWWWD3–1 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 1–1

VELKÁ BÍTEŠ

DWDWWL0–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 6–3 · 4–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	11	+27	22
2	Sparta Brno	11	+8	22
3	Tatran Bohunice	11	+13	21
4	Velká Bíteš	11	+6	21
5	Havlíčkův Brod	11	+7	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	11	+6	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	11	+3	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	11	−38	2