Havlíčkův Brod v Sokol Tasovice prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Havlíčkův BrodDrawSokol Tasovice

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Havlíčkův Brod 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Havlíčkův Brod are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Havlíčkův Brod 51%, draw 23%, Sokol Tasovice 26%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Havlíčkův Brod v Sokol TasoviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Havlíčkův Brod win51%

Draw23%

Sokol Tasovice win26%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Havlíčkův Brod

Sokol Tasovice

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Havlíčkův Brod	12	+5	20
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · havlíčkův brod winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Havlíčkův Brod a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Havlíčkův Brod v Sokol Tasovice~~1.86 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 17~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Havlíčkův Brod win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod or draw	74%	–	–
Havlíčkův Brod clean sheet	29%	–	–
Sokol Tasovice clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.1 5.2 3.6 1 7.8 10.6 6.4 2.8 2 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.5 3 4.7 5.7 3.6 4 2.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Havlíčkův Brod down, Sokol Tasovice across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,176 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.0% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Havlíčkův Brod at home: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sokol Tasovice away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for Havlíčkův Brod, 1.27 for Sokol Tasovice. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HAV 0–2 SOK · SOK 2–1 HAV · HAV 2–0 SOK · SOK 1–2 HAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 13 Sept

HAVLÍČKŮV BROD

LWWWDL0–2 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

SOKOL TASOVICE

DLDWWL0–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kuřim	12	+34	25
2	Sparta Brno	12	+11	25
3	Tatran Bohunice	12	+14	24
4	Velká Bíteš	12	+8	24
5	Havlíčkův Brod	12	+5	20
6	FS Třebíč	11	−2	20
7	Znojmo	12	+5	18
8	Sokol Tasovice	11	+7	17
9	Pelhřimov	11	+3	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	12	−4	14
11	Humpolec	11	−5	10
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	11	−7	10
13	Chotebor	11	−11	10
14	Velké Meziříčí	11	−14	10
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	11	−3	9
16	Bedrichov	12	−41	2