Bystrc Kníničky v Bedrichov prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Bystrc Kníničky 4–0 Bedrichov BYSTRC KNÍNIČKY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bystrc Kníničky win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.055

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bystrc Kníničky are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bystrc Kníničky 81%, draw 11%, Bedrichov 8%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Bystrc Kníničky v BedrichovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bystrc Kníničky win81%

Draw11%

Bedrichov win8%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bystrc Kníničky

Bedrichov

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Bystrc Kníničky	10	−1	11
16	Bedrichov	10	−34	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bystrc kníničky winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Bystrc Kníničky an 81% chance to win. The model expects 3.8–1.2, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bystrc Kníničky v Bedrichov~~3.79 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 11 v 2~~10 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bystrc Kníničky win

Published at 79%, 81% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bystrc Kníničky win	81%	–	–
Draw	11%	–	–
Bedrichov win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky or draw	92%	–	–
Bystrc Kníničky clean sheet	31%	–	–
Bedrichov clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.0%

0123450 1 2.8 3.7 2.1 2 5.1 6.0 3.6 3 6.0 7.0 4.2 4 5.5 6.3 3.8 5 4.1 4.7 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Bystrc Kníničky down, Bedrichov across0–5 goals a side shown (80.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,164 4. liga - Divizie D matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie D matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bystrc Kníničky at home: 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). Bedrichov away: 1.40 scored, 3.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

3.79 goals for Bystrc Kníničky, 1.21 for Bedrichov. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 5 Sept

BYSTRC KNÍNIČKY

DDLLWD0–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 4–4

BEDRICHOV

LLLLLL0–4 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 3–6 · 0–13

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Velká Bíteš	10	+8	21
2	Tatran Bohunice	10	+13	20
3	Kuřim	10	+25	19
4	Havlíčkův Brod	10	+7	19
5	Sparta Brno	10	+4	19
6	Sokol Tasovice	10	+8	17
7	FS Třebíč	10	−4	17
8	Znojmo	10	+5	15
9	Pelhřimov	10	+5	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	10	−1	11
11	Velké Meziříčí	10	−10	10
12	Humpolec	10	−5	9
13	Ždírec nad Doubravou	10	−7	9
14	Chotebor	10	−11	9
15	Žďár nad Sázavou	10	−3	8
16	Bedrichov	10	−34	2