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Bedrichov v Sparta Brno

Bedrichov
2–5Full time
Sparta Brno

4. liga - Divizie D · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Bedrichov 2–5 Sparta Brno SPARTA BRNO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sparta Brno win73%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.108

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Brno win at 73%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sparta Brno was 73% before kick-off and our model makes it 73% now. 0–0 · 13–13–73
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bedrichov v Sparta Brno
  4. 2′We said Sparta Brno at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 56%. 1–0 · 27–17–56
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Bedrichov 1–0 Sparta Brno
  6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 56% now
  7. 7′We said Sparta Brno at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–0 · 28–18–54
  8. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Bedrichov 1–1 Sparta Brno
  9. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 72% now
  10. 27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 27' Bedrichov
  11. 27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 27' Sparta Brno
  12. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Bedrichov 1–1 Sparta Brno
  13. 30′Goals are coming at about the 5.0 we expected. 1–1 · 15–19–66
  14. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Bedrichov 1–2 Sparta Brno
  15. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 84% now
  16. 43′We said Sparta Brno at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 61%. 2–2 · 16–23–61
  17. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Bedrichov 2–2 Sparta Brno
  18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 61% now
  19. 45′HALF-TIME Bedrichov 2–2 Sparta Brno
  20. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Bedrichov
  21. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Sparta Brno
  22. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Bedrichov 2–2 Sparta Brno
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Bedrichov 2–2 Sparta Brno
  24. 50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Bedrichov
  25. 50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Sparta Brno
  26. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Bedrichov 2–2 Sparta Brno
  27. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 53% now
  28. 63′We expected about 5.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 16–35–50
  29. 64′We said Sparta Brno at 73%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 16–35–49
  30. 65′That is 5, and we only asked for 5.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 3–13–84
  31. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Bedrichov 2–3 Sparta Brno
  32. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 84% now
  33. 66′We published Sparta Brno at 73%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–3 · 3–13–85
  34. 70′We published Sparta Brno at 73%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–4 · 0–2–98
  35. 70′6 goals already, more than the 5.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–2–98
  36. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Bedrichov 2–4 Sparta Brno
  37. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Sparta Brno win: 73% at kick-off, 98% now
  38. 83′We published Sparta Brno at 73%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  39. 86′That is 7, and we only asked for 5.0 across ninety minutes. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  40. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Bedrichov 2–5 Sparta Brno
  41. FTFULL TIME Bedrichov 2–5 Sparta Brno
  42. FTBedrichov 2–5 Sparta Brno · Sparta Brno win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sparta Brno are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bedrichov 13%, draw 13%, Sparta Brno 73%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Bedrichov v Sparta BrnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bedrichov win13%
Draw13%
Sparta Brno win73%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bedrichov

Sparta Brno

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie D

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Sparta Brno11+822
16Bedrichov11−382

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sparta brno winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Sparta Brno a 73% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–3.5, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bedrichov v Sparta Brno1.48 – 3.49
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 SeptW0 D0 L6 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 2 v 2216 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bedrichov win13%––
Draw13%––
Sparta Brno win73%––
Over 2.5 goals86%––
Both teams to score74%––
Over 1.5 goals95%––
Over 3.5 goals71%––
Bedrichov or draw27%––
Bedrichov clean sheet4%––
Sparta Brno clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.8%
0123450 2.6 4.4 4.8 4.1 2.91 4.1 6.3 6.8 5.7 4.02 2.9 4.6 5.0 4.2 2.93 2.3 2.5 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bedrichov down, Sparta Brno across0–5 goals a side shown (84.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie D this season · since 12 Sept

BEDRICHOV

LLLLLL0–3 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 3–6 · 0–13 · 0–4

SPARTA BRNO

LWWWWW1–3 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 5–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kuřim11+2722
2Sparta Brno11+822
3Tatran Bohunice11+1321
4Velká Bíteš11+621
5Havlíčkův Brod11+720
6FS Třebíč11−220
7Znojmo11+618
8Sokol Tasovice11+717
9Pelhřimov11+314
10Bystrc Kníničky11+314
11Humpolec11−510
12Ždírec nad Doubravou11−710
13Chotebor11−1110
14Velké Meziříčí11−1410
15Žďár nad Sázavou11−39
16Bedrichov11−382

The competition's standings before kick-off.