Vysoké Mýto v Vykan prediction · 4. liga - Divizie C

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan VYSOKÉ MÝTO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vysoké Mýto win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.102

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vysoké Mýto win at 74%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Vysoké Mýto 74% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 74–15–11
1′KICK-OFF Vysoké Mýto v Vykan
7′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–4
7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 89% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 87–9–3
35′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
45′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–27–13
45′HALF-TIME Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Vysoké Mýto
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 59% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 87% now
46′SECOND HALF Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
65′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–42–12
65′Goalless on 65′ when we expected about 3.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 45–42–12
66′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–44–12
69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Vysoké Mýto
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 41% now
69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Vysoké Mýto win 41%)
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 88% now
69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Vysoké Mýto win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 10%)
73′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–53–11
74′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Vysoké Mýto win: 74% at kick-off, 94% now
84′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
86′We said Vysoké Mýto at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–81–5
FTFULL TIME Vysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan
FTVysoké Mýto 1–0 Vykan · Vysoké Mýto win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vysoké Mýto are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vysoké Mýto 74%, draw 15%, Vykan 11%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Vysoké Mýto v VykanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vysoké Mýto win74%

Draw15%

Vykan win11%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vysoké Mýto

Vykan

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Vysoké Mýto	10	+17	26
13	Vykan	10	−3	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vysoké mýto winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Vysoké Mýto a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vysoké Mýto v Vykan~~2.86 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 26 v 10~~2 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vysoké Mýto win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vysoké Mýto win	74%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Vykan win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Vysoké Mýto or draw	89%	–	–
Vysoké Mýto clean sheet	37%	–	–
Vykan clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.5%

0123450 2.7 1 5.9 6.5 3.2 2 8.5 8.4 4.3 3 7.9 7.8 4.0 4 5.6 5.5 2.8 5 3.3 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Vysoké Mýto down, Vykan across0–5 goals a side shown (92.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,279 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Vysoké Mýto at home: 3.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vykan away: 1.50 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.86 goals for Vysoké Mýto, 1.02 for Vykan. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 5 Sept

VYSOKÉ MÝTO

DWWWWW4–4 · 3–2 · 7–2 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 5–3

VYKAN

DLLLLL0–0 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Přepeře	11	+23	27
2	Vysoké Mýto	10	+17	26
3	Kosmonosy	10	+18	25
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	11	+10	20
5	Trutnov	10	+6	19
6	Turnov	10	+7	17
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	10	+3	17
8	Kolín	10	+3	15
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	10	−2	13
10	Hlinsko	10	−3	13
11	Dvůr Králové	10	−4	11
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	10	−5	11
13	Vykan	10	−3	10
14	Svitavy	10	−14	5
15	Letohrad	10	−25	1
16	Chrudim II	10	−31	1