Vykan v Chlumec nad Cidlinou prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04

Vykan 1–1 Chlumec nad Cidlinou VYKAN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Vykan win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.858

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vykan are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vykan 42%, draw 25%, Chlumec nad Cidlinou 33%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Vykan v Chlumec nad CidlinouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Vykan win42%

Draw25%

Chlumec nad Cidlinou win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup C · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vykan

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	11	+6	20
13	Vykan	11	−4	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vykan winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Vykan a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vykan v Chlumec nad Cidlinou~~1.64 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 20~~13 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vykan win

Published at 43%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vykan win	42%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Chlumec nad Cidlinou win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Vykan or draw	67%	–	–
Vykan clean sheet	24%	–	–
Chlumec nad Cidlinou clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.3 6.3 4.8 2.3 1 7.2 11.1 7.6 3.7 2 6.2 8.6 6.1 3.0 3 3.4 4.8 3.4 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vykan down, Chlumec nad Cidlinou across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,287 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.6% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Vykan at home: 2.00 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Chlumec nad Cidlinou away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Vykan, 1.44 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept

VYKAN

LLLLLL2–3 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 0–1

CHLUMEC NAD CIDLINOU

WWWWDW3–2 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	11	+18	29
2	Přepeře	11	+23	27
3	Kosmonosy	11	+17	25
4	Trutnov	11	+7	22
5	Turnov	11	+10	20
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	11	+10	20
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	11	+6	20
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	11	−1	16
9	Kolín	11	+2	15
10	Dvůr Králové	11	−3	14
11	Hlinsko	11	−4	13
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	11	−8	11
13	Vykan	11	−4	10
14	Svitavy	11	−17	5
15	Letohrad	11	−25	2
16	Chrudim II	11	−31	2