Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 4. liga - Divizie C › Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto

Back
Czech Republic flag

Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto

Ústí nad Orlicí
0–0Full time
Vysoké Mýto

4. liga - Divizie C · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion TJ Jiskra

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto ÚSTÍ NAD ORLICÍ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ústí nad Orlicí win42%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.803
The market’s Brier score0.879

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ústí nad Orlicí win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ústí nad Orlicí 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto
  4. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Ústí nad Orlicí win 36%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
  7. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  8. 54′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–46–24
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 30–47–23
  10. 57′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
  11. 66′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–19
  12. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  13. 73′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
  14. 79′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
  15. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  16. 84′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–85–7
  17. 90′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  18. FTFULL TIME Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
  19. FTÚstí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto · Ústí nad Orlicí win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ústí nad Orlicí are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ústí nad Orlicí 42%, draw 27%, Vysoké Mýto 31%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké MýtoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Ústí nad Orlicí win42%
Draw27%
Vysoké Mýto win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 12

VenueStadion TJ Jiskra

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ústí nad Orlicí

Vysoké Mýto

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vysoké Mýto11+1829
6Ústí nad Orlicí11+1020

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ústí nad orlicí winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
42% The market30%
Us42%
Market30%

We make Ústí nad Orlicí a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto1.42 – 1.17
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0
Table places · points 20 v 296 v 1
The market · Ústí nad Orlicí win30% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:49
Our probability · Ústí nad Orlicí win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ústí nad Orlicí win42%30%+12
Draw27%24%+3
Vysoké Mýto win31%46%−15
Over 2.5 goals48%63%−15
Both teams to score52%65%−13
Over 1.5 goals73%82%−9
Over 3.5 goals26%43%−17
Ústí nad Orlicí or draw69%54%+15
Ústí nad Orlicí clean sheet32%––
Vysoké Mýto clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 8.4 8.3 5.1 2.1 1 10.3 12.6 7.1 2.8 2 7.6 8.5 5.0 2.0 3 3.6 4.1 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ústí nad Orlicí down, Vysoké Mýto across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.80
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored1 of 5
Last meetingsUST 2–1 VYS · VYS 0–1 UST · VYS 0–0 UST · UST 3–0 VYS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept

ÚSTÍ NAD ORLICÍ

WDWWLL1–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

VYSOKÉ MÝTO

WWWWWW3–2 · 7–2 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 5–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vysoké Mýto11+1829
2Přepeře11+2327
3Kosmonosy11+1725
4Trutnov11+722
5Turnov11+1020
6Ústí nad Orlicí11+1020
7Chlumec nad Cidlinou11+620
8Spartak Police n/Metují11−116
9Kolín11+215
10Dvůr Králové11−314
11Hlinsko11−413
12Slavia Hradec Králové11−811
13Vykan11−410
14Svitavy11−175
15Letohrad11−252
16Chrudim II11−312

The competition's standings before kick-off.