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Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto
Ústí nad Orlicí
Vysoké Mýto4. liga - Divizie C · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion TJ Jiskra
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ústí nad Orlicí win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Ústí nad Orlicí 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Ústí nad Orlicí v Vysoké Mýto
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Ústí nad Orlicí win 36%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
- 46′SECOND HALF Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 54′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–46–24
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 30–47–23
- 57′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
- 66′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–19
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 73′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
- 79′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Ústí nad Orlicí win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–85–7
- 90′We said Ústí nad Orlicí at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Ústí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto
- FTÚstí nad Orlicí 0–0 Vysoké Mýto · Ústí nad Orlicí win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Ústí nad Orlicí are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ústí nad Orlicí 42%, draw 27%, Vysoké Mýto 31%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Ústí nad Orlicí win42%
Vysoké Mýto win31%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup C · matchday 12
VenueStadion TJ Jiskra
Match timeline
All events
Ústí nad OrlicíMIN
Vysoké MýtoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ústí nad Orlicí
Vysoké Mýto
Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C
Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ústí nad Orlicí a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí win | 42% | 30% | +12 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3 |
| Vysoké Mýto win | 31% | 46% | −15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 63% | −15 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 65% | −13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 82% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 43% | −17 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí or draw | 69% | 54% | +15 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Vysoké Mýto clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept
ÚSTÍ NAD ORLICÍ
VYSOKÉ MÝTO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 11 | +18 | 29 |
| 2 | Přepeře | 11 | +23 | 27 |
| 3 | Kosmonosy | 11 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Trutnov | 11 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Turnov | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 8 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 9 | Kolín | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dvůr Králové | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 11 | Hlinsko | 11 | −4 | 13 |
| 12 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 11 | −8 | 11 |
| 13 | Vykan | 11 | −4 | 10 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 11 | −17 | 5 |
| 15 | Letohrad | 11 | −25 | 2 |
| 16 | Chrudim II | 11 | −31 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Přepeře
Kosmonosy
Trutnov
Turnov
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
Spartak Police n/Metují
Kolín
Dvůr Králové
Hlinsko
Slavia Hradec Králové
Vykan
Svitavy
Letohrad
Chrudim II