Trutnov v Přepeře prediction · 4. liga - Divizie C

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Trutnov 3–0 Přepeře PŘEPEŘE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Přepeře win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.715

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Přepeře are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trutnov 32%, draw 23%, Přepeře 44%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Trutnov v PřepeřeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Trutnov win32%

Draw23%

Přepeře win44%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trutnov

Přepeře

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Přepeře	11	+23	27
4	Trutnov	11	+7	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · přepeře winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Přepeře a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trutnov v Přepeře~~1.50 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 22 v 27~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trutnov win	32%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Přepeře win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Trutnov or draw	56%	–	–
Trutnov clean sheet	17%	–	–
Přepeře clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.3 6.4 6.0 3.6 1 5.2 10.3 8.8 5.3 2.4 2 4.2 7.3 6.5 3.9 3 2.1 3.7 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trutnov down, Přepeře across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,287 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.6% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trutnov at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Přepeře away: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Trutnov, 1.80 for Přepeře. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PRE 4–1 TRU · TRU 3–2 PRE · PRE 0–1 TRU · TRU 2–0 PRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 12 Sept

TRUTNOV

LWWWWW0–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

PŘEPEŘE

WWLWWW1–0 · 5–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	11	+18	29
2	Přepeře	11	+23	27
3	Kosmonosy	11	+17	25
4	Trutnov	11	+7	22
5	Turnov	11	+10	20
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	11	+10	20
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	11	+6	20
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	11	−1	16
9	Kolín	11	+2	15
10	Dvůr Králové	11	−3	14
11	Hlinsko	11	−4	13
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	11	−8	11
13	Vykan	11	−4	10
14	Svitavy	11	−17	5
15	Letohrad	11	−25	2
16	Chrudim II	11	−31	2