Trutnov v Kolín prediction · 4. liga - Divizie C

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Trutnov 1–0 Kolín TRUTNOV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Trutnov win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.504

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Trutnov are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trutnov 43%, draw 22%, Kolín 35%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Trutnov v KolínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Trutnov win43%

Draw22%

Kolín win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trutnov

Kolín

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Trutnov	10	+6	19
8	Kolín	10	+3	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · trutnov winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:01 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Trutnov a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trutnov v Kolín~~1.94 – 1.76

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 15~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Trutnov win

Published at 44%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trutnov win	43%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Kolín win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Trutnov or draw	65%	–	–
Trutnov clean sheet	18%	–	–
Kolín clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.2 4.1 3.9 2.3 1 4.6 8.8 7.2 4.2 2 4.8 7.9 6.8 4.0 3 3.1 5.1 4.4 2.6 4 2.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trutnov down, Kolín across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,279 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trutnov at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kolín away: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Trutnov, 1.76 for Kolín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TRU 0–5 KOL · KOL 4–2 TRU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 5 Sept

TRUTNOV

DLWWWW2–2 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

KOLÍN

WWWLLW3–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Přepeře	11	+23	27
2	Vysoké Mýto	10	+17	26
3	Kosmonosy	10	+18	25
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	11	+10	20
5	Trutnov	10	+6	19
6	Turnov	10	+7	17
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	10	+3	17
8	Kolín	10	+3	15
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	10	−2	13
10	Hlinsko	10	−3	13
11	Dvůr Králové	10	−4	11
12	Slavia Hradec Králové	10	−5	11
13	Vykan	10	−3	10
14	Svitavy	10	−14	5
15	Letohrad	10	−25	1
16	Chrudim II	10	−31	1