Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 4. liga - Divizie C › Svitavy v Vysoké Mýto

Back
Czech-Republic flag

Svitavy v Vysoké Mýto

Svitavy
3–5Full time
Vysoké Mýto

4. liga - Divizie C · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Svitavy 3–5 Vysoké Mýto VYSOKÉ MÝTO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vysoké Mýto win62%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.211
The market’s Brier score0.180

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vysoké Mýto win at 62%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: Vysoké Mýto was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 18–19–63
  3. 5′Much as we predicted: Vysoké Mýto was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 18–20–62
  4. 18′We said Vysoké Mýto at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 41–25–34
  5. 21′We said Vysoké Mýto at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–0 · 67–18–15
  6. 37′We said Vysoké Mýto at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–1 · 47–27–26
  7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Vysoké Mýto win: 62% at kick-off, 26% now
  8. 38′We said Vysoké Mýto at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–1 · 47–27–25
  9. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Vysoké Mýto win: 62% at kick-off, 15% now
  10. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Vysoké Mýto win: 62% at kick-off, 25% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Svitavy 2–1 Vysoké Mýto
  12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Svitavy 2–1 Vysoké Mýto
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vysoké Mýto win: 62% at kick-off, 26% now
  14. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Svitavy win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Vysoké Mýto win 26%)
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Svitavy 2–1 Vysoké Mýto
  16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Svitavy 2–2 Vysoké Mýto
  17. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Svitavy 2–2 Vysoké Mýto
  18. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Svitavy 3–2 Vysoké Mýto
  19. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Svitavy 3–3 Vysoké Mýto
  20. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Svitavy 3–4 Vysoké Mýto
  21. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Svitavy 3–5 Vysoké Mýto
  22. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Svitavy 3–6 Vysoké Mýto
  23. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Svitavy 3–5 Vysoké Mýto
  24. FTFULL TIME Svitavy 3–5 Vysoké Mýto
  25. FTSvitavy 3–5 Vysoké Mýto · Vysoké Mýto win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Svitavy win18%
Draw20%
Vysoké Mýto win62%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Svitavy

Vysoké Mýto

8Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Vysoké Mýto9+1523
14Svitavy9−125

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vysoké mýto winPublished 11 Oct 15:13
62% The market65%
Us62%
Market65%

We make Vysoké Mýto a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.3.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:1811 OCT 13:47
Our probability · vysoké mýto win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Svitavy win18%15%+3
Draw20%20%0
Vysoké Mýto win62%65%−3
Over 2.5 goals66%65%+1
Both teams to score60%57%+4
Over 1.5 goals85%83%+2
Over 3.5 goals44%45%−1
Svitavy or draw38%35%+3
Svitavy clean sheet11%––
Vysoké Mýto clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.4%
0123450 3.9 7.2 8.5 6.5 3.8 1 3.5 8.8 9.4 7.1 4.1 2 2.2 4.8 5.3 4.0 2.3 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Svitavy down, Vysoké Mýto across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsSVI 1–1 VYS · VYS 2–1 SVI

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C

SVITAVY

LLDDLL0–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–3

VYSOKÉ MÝTO

WDWWWW2–0 · 4–4 · 3–2 · 7–2 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kosmonosy10+1825
2Přepeře10+2224
3Vysoké Mýto9+1523
4Ústí nad Orlicí9+1220
5Turnov10+717
6Trutnov9+516
7Chlumec nad Cidlinou9+316
8Spartak Police n/Metují10−213
9Hlinsko10−313
10Kolín9−112
11Slavia Hradec Králové10−511
12Vykan10−310
13Dvůr Králové9−410
14Svitavy9−125
15Letohrad10−251
16Chrudim II9−271

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.