Svitavy v Kosmonosy prediction · 4. liga - Divizie C

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SvitavyDrawKosmonosy

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Kosmonosy 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kosmonosy are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Svitavy 23%, draw 18%, Kosmonosy 59%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Svitavy v KosmonosyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Svitavy win23%

Draw18%

Kosmonosy win59%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup C · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Svitavy

Kosmonosy

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie C

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kosmonosy	11	+17	25
14	Svitavy	11	−17	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kosmonosy winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Kosmonosy a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Svitavy v Kosmonosy~~1.66 – 2.68

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 25~~14 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Svitavy win	23%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Kosmonosy win	59%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Svitavy or draw	41%	–	–
Svitavy clean sheet	7%	–	–
Kosmonosy clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%

0123450 3.4 4.7 4.1 2.8 1 2.0 6.2 7.6 6.7 4.5 2.52 4.8 6.2 5.5 3.7 2.03 2.7 3.5 3.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Svitavy down, Kosmonosy across0–5 goals a side shown (93.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,292 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 93 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Svitavy at home: 1.33 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Kosmonosy away: 3.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Svitavy, 2.68 for Kosmonosy. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KOS 4–0 SVI · SVI 1–2 KOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C this season · since 13 Sept

SVITAVY

DDLLLL0–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 3–5 · 1–4

KOSMONOSY

LWWWWL1–4 · 6–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 5–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	12	+18	30
2	Přepeře	12	+20	27
3	Kosmonosy	11	+17	25
4	Trutnov	12	+10	25
5	Turnov	12	+12	23
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	12	+10	21
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	12	+6	21
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	11	−1	16
9	Kolín	11	+2	15
10	Dvůr Králové	11	−3	14
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	12	−4	14
12	Hlinsko	12	−6	13
13	Vykan	12	−4	11
14	Svitavy	11	−17	5
15	Letohrad	11	−25	2
16	Chrudim II	12	−35	2