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Slavia Hradec Králové v Spartak Police n/Metují

Slavia Hradec Králové

1–1Full time

Spartak Police n/Metují

4. liga - Divizie C · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují SLAVIA HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Slavia Hradec Králové win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.888

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Hradec Králové win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Hradec Králové 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–23–36
1′KICK-OFF Slavia Hradec Králové v Spartak Police n/Metují
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
11′We said Slavia Hradec Králové at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–20–60
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Slavia Hradec Králové win: 41% at kick-off, 20% now
11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Spartak Police n/Metují win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Slavia Hradec Králové win 20%)
22′We said Slavia Hradec Králové at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–21–61
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
45′HALF-TIME Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
46′SECOND HALF Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Slavia Hradec Králové 0–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
FTFULL TIME Slavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují
FTSlavia Hradec Králové 1–1 Spartak Police n/Metují · Slavia Hradec Králové win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Slavia Hradec Králové win41%

Draw23%

Spartak Police n/Metují win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavia hradec králové winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Slavia Hradec Králové a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slavia Hradec Králové win	41%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Spartak Police n/Metují win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Slavia Hradec Králové or draw	64%	–	–
Slavia Hradec Králové clean sheet	20%	–	–
Spartak Police n/Metují clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.9 5.1 4.5 2.5 1 5.5 9.8 7.7 4.3 2 5.1 8.2 6.7 3.7 3 3.0 4.9 4.0 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slavia Hradec Králové down, Spartak Police n/Metují across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,271 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slavia Hradec Králové at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Spartak Police n/Metují away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Slavia Hradec Králové, 1.66 for Spartak Police n/Metují. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SLA 0–1 SPA · SPA 1–1 SLA

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C

SLAVIA HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ

DLLWLL2–2 · 0–1 · 2–7 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–2

SPARTAK POLICE N/METUJÍ

WLLLWW3–1 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 3–5 · 2–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	9	+15	23
2	Kosmonosy	9	+15	22
3	Přepeře	9	+17	21
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	9	+12	20
5	Turnov	9	+7	16
6	Trutnov	9	+5	16
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	9	+3	16
8	Hlinsko	9	0	13
9	Kolín	9	−1	12
10	Spartak Police n/Metují	9	−2	12
11	Vykan	9	+2	10
12	Dvůr Králové	9	−4	10
13	Slavia Hradec Králové	9	−5	10
14	Svitavy	9	−12	5
15	Chrudim II	9	−27	1
16	Letohrad	9	−25	0