Kosmonosy v Dvůr Králové

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kosmonosy win at 69%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kosmonosy was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–18–13
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kosmonosy v Dvůr Králové
4. 28′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–1 · 36–26–38
5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Kosmonosy 0–1 Dvůr Králové
6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 36% now
7. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 35–27–39
8. 31′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–27–39
9. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Dvůr Králové win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Kosmonosy win 34%)
10. 38′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–28–42
11. 40′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–28–43
12. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
13. 45′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 55–30–15
14. 45′HALF-TIME Kosmonosy 0–1 Dvůr Králové
15. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Dvůr Králové
16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 55% now
17. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Kosmonosy win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Dvůr Králové win 15%)
18. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Kosmonosy 0–1 Dvůr Králové
19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 26% now
20. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Dvůr Králové win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Kosmonosy win 26%)
21. 46′SECOND HALF Kosmonosy 0–1 Dvůr Králové
22. 48′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
23. 54′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–36–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
24. 56′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–37–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
25. 56′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–52
26. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
27. 59′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
28. 59′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–2 · 5–12–83
29. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Kosmonosy 0–2 Dvůr Králové
30. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 5% now
31. 60′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
32. 68′We said Kosmonosy at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–50–12
33. 69′We expected about 3.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–51–12
34. 72′GOAL DISALLOWED · 72' Dvůr Králové
35. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 34% now
36. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Dvůr Králové win 11%)
37. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Kosmonosy 0–2 Dvůr Králové
38. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kosmonosy win: 69% at kick-off, 1% now
39. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Dvůr Králové win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 6%)
40. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kosmonosy 1–2 Dvůr Králové
41. FTFULL TIME Kosmonosy 1–2 Dvůr Králové
42. FTKosmonosy 1–2 Dvůr Králové · Kosmonosy win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.