Kolín v Chrudim II prediction · 4. liga - Divizie C

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Kolín 5–1 Chrudim II KOLÍN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kolín win~~69%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.146

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kolín win at 69%.
1′KICK-OFF Kolín v Chrudim II
5′Little has changed for our model: Kolín 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–16–15
8′Little has changed for our model: Kolín 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–16–15
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Kolín 1–0 Chrudim II
39′We said Kolín at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–12–5
40′We said Kolín at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–12–5
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Kolín win: 69% at kick-off, 84% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kolín win: 69% at kick-off, 65% now
45′HALF-TIME Kolín 1–0 Chrudim II
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Kolín 1–0 Chrudim II
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Kolín win: 69% at kick-off, 84% now
46′SECOND HALF Kolín 1–0 Chrudim II
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Kolín 2–0 Chrudim II
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Kolín 3–0 Chrudim II
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Kolín 4–0 Chrudim II
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Kolín 5–0 Chrudim II
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kolín 5–1 Chrudim II
FTFULL TIME Kolín 5–1 Chrudim II
FTKolín 5–1 Chrudim II · Kolín win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kolín win69%

Draw16%

Chrudim II win15%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

VenueSportovni areal Brankovicka

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kolín

Chrudim II

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Kolín	9	−1	12
16	Chrudim II	9	−27	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kolín winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Kolín a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kolín win	69%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Chrudim II win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Kolín or draw	85%	–	–
Kolín clean sheet	28%	–	–
Chrudim II clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 1 4.3 6.0 3.8 2 6.2 7.8 5.1 2.3 3 5.8 7.3 4.7 2.1 4 4.3 5.3 3.4 5 2.6 3.2 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Kolín down, Chrudim II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.7% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Kolín at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Chrudim II away: 1.67 scored, 4.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.94 goals for Kolín, 1.31 for Chrudim II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C

KOLÍN

LWWWLL0–4 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

CHRUDIM II

LDLLLL1–2 · 4–4 · 2–3 · 1–6 · 1–2 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kosmonosy	10	+18	25
2	Přepeře	10	+22	24
3	Vysoké Mýto	9	+15	23
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	9	+12	20
5	Turnov	10	+7	17
6	Trutnov	9	+5	16
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	9	+3	16
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	10	−2	13
9	Hlinsko	10	−3	13
10	Kolín	9	−1	12
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	10	−5	11
12	Vykan	10	−3	10
13	Dvůr Králové	9	−4	10
14	Svitavy	9	−12	5
15	Letohrad	10	−25	1
16	Chrudim II	9	−27	1