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Hlinsko v Kosmonosy

Hlinsko

2–5Full time

Kosmonosy

4. liga - Divizie C · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:11

Hlinsko 2–5 Kosmonosy KOSMONOSY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kosmonosy win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.438

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hlinsko win33%

Draw20%

Kosmonosy win46%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kosmonosy winPublished 10 Oct 13:47

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Kosmonosy a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hlinsko win	33%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Kosmonosy win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Hlinsko or draw	54%	–	–
Hlinsko clean sheet	11%	–	–
Kosmonosy clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.2%

0123450 3.2 3.9 2.9 1 2.7 6.8 7.2 5.5 3.2 2 2.8 6.2 6.9 5.2 3.0 3 4.0 4.4 3.4 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hlinsko down, Kosmonosy across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,271 4. liga - Divizie C matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie C matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.88 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hlinsko at home: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kosmonosy away: 2.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Hlinsko, 2.30 for Kosmonosy. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.88

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~HLI 5–1 KOS · KOS 2–1 HLI · HLI 2–4 KOS · KOS 0–2 HLI

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie C

HLINSKO

WLWLLL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 2–3 · 0–2

KOSMONOSY

WWLWWW4–0 · 4–1 · 1–4 · 6–1 · 3–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vysoké Mýto	9	+15	23
2	Kosmonosy	9	+15	22
3	Přepeře	9	+17	21
4	Ústí nad Orlicí	9	+12	20
5	Turnov	9	+7	16
6	Trutnov	9	+5	16
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	9	+3	16
8	Hlinsko	9	0	13
9	Kolín	9	−1	12
10	Spartak Police n/Metují	9	−2	12
11	Vykan	9	+2	10
12	Dvůr Králové	9	−4	10
13	Slavia Hradec Králové	9	−5	10
14	Svitavy	9	−12	5
15	Chrudim II	9	−27	1
16	Letohrad	9	−25	0