Chrudim II v Letohrad

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chrudim II win at 65%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chrudim II 65% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–17–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chrudim II v Letohrad
4. 34′We said Chrudim II at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
5. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
6. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 80% now
7. 38′We said Chrudim II at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
8. 45′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–27–20
9. 45′HALF-TIME Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
10. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Chrudim II
11. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 53% now
12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 80% now
14. 46′SECOND HALF Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
15. 50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Chrudim II
16. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 51% now
17. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 80% now
19. 55′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–33–19
20. 57′Goalless on 57′ when we expected about 4.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 47–34–19
21. 69′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–45–17
22. 73′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–51–16
23. 73′GOAL DISALLOWED · 73' Chrudim II
24. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 33% now
25. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Chrudim II win 33%)
26. 74′We said Chrudim II at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
27. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Chrudim II 1–0 Letohrad
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
29. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Chrudim II win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
31. 77′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–58–13 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
32. 82′We said Chrudim II at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
33. 89′We said Chrudim II at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
34. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
35. 91′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–0 · 7–89–4 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
36. 94′We said Chrudim II at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–2
37. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Chrudim II 1–1 Letohrad
38. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Chrudim II win: 65% at kick-off, 3% now
39. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Chrudim II win 3%)
40. FTFULL TIME Chrudim II 1–1 Letohrad
41. FTChrudim II 1–1 Letohrad · Chrudim II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.