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Ústí nad Labem II v Slovan Velvary

Ústí nad Labem II

0–0Full time

Slovan Velvary

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Ústí nad Labem II 0–0 Slovan Velvary ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ústí nad Labem II win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.953

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ústí nad Labem II win at 48%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Ústí nad Labem II 48% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–21–30
1′KICK-OFF Ústí nad Labem II v Slovan Velvary
45′HALF-TIME Ústí nad Labem II 0–0 Slovan Velvary
46′SECOND HALF Ústí nad Labem II 0–0 Slovan Velvary
FTFULL TIME Ústí nad Labem II 0–0 Slovan Velvary
FTÚstí nad Labem II 0–0 Slovan Velvary · Ústí nad Labem II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ústí nad Labem II win48%

Draw21%

Slovan Velvary win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ústí nad labem ii winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Ústí nad Labem II a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ústí nad Labem II win	48%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Slovan Velvary win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II or draw	69%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II clean sheet	20%	–	–
Slovan Velvary clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.7 3.7 3.2 1 4.8 8.2 6.5 3.6 2 5.2 8.2 6.7 3.8 3 3.6 5.8 4.7 2.6 4 3.1 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ústí nad Labem II down, Slovan Velvary across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,257 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Ústí nad Labem II at home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Velvary away: 1.80 scored, 2.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.13 goals for Ústí nad Labem II, 1.67 for Slovan Velvary. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B

ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II

LWLLDL0–4 · 3–1 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

SLOVAN VELVARY

WLWLLL2–1 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–5 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	9	+19	22
2	Chomutov	9	+12	21
3	Újezd Praha 4	9	+3	17
4	Rapid Psáry	9	+8	16
5	Baník Sokolov	9	+7	15
6	Brandýs nad Labem	9	+4	15
7	Tempo Praha	9	+2	13
8	Meteor Praha	9	−1	13
9	Slovan Velvary	9	−5	13
10	Karlovy Vary	9	+2	12
11	Slaný	9	+5	11
12	Štětí	9	−3	11
13	Ostrov	9	−7	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	9	−12	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	9	−16	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	9	−18	5