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Ústí nad Labem II v Slavoj Vyšehrad

Ústí nad Labem II

4–1Full time

Slavoj Vyšehrad

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ústí nad Labem II win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.395

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ústí nad Labem II win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: Ústí nad Labem II was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–20–31
1′KICK-OFF Ústí nad Labem II v Slavoj Vyšehrad
15′We published Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–16–15
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Ústí nad Labem II 1–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 69% now
19′We published Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–0 · 85–9–6
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Ústí nad Labem II 2–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 85% now
22′We published Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–0 · 95–4–2
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Ústí nad Labem II 3–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 95% now
45′HALF-TIME Ústí nad Labem II 3–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
46′SECOND HALF Ústí nad Labem II 3–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
54′We published Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Ústí nad Labem II 4–0 Slavoj Vyšehrad
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, over 99% now
62′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 99–1–0
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Ústí nad Labem II
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Slavoj Vyšehrad
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 31% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Ústí nad Labem II win 99%)
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Ústí nad Labem II win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 46%)
76′We said Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–18
76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 76' Ústí nad Labem II
76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 76' Slavoj Vyšehrad
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 24% now
76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Ústí nad Labem II win over 99%)
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, over 99% now
77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Ústí nad Labem II win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 57%)
81′We said Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–68–14
86′We said Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–0 · 11–80–9
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Ústí nad Labem II
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Slavoj Vyšehrad
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, 11% now
86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Ústí nad Labem II win over 99%)
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Ústí nad Labem II win: 49% at kick-off, over 99% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Ústí nad Labem II win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 80%)
91′We said Ústí nad Labem II at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–0 · 6–89–5
FTFULL TIME Ústí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad
FTÚstí nad Labem II 4–1 Slavoj Vyšehrad · Ústí nad Labem II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ústí nad Labem II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ústí nad Labem II 49%, draw 20%, Slavoj Vyšehrad 31%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Ústí nad Labem II v Slavoj VyšehradBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Ústí nad Labem II win49%

Draw20%

Slavoj Vyšehrad win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ústí nad Labem II

Slavoj Vyšehrad

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Slavoj Vyšehrad	11	−11	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	11	−24	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ústí nad labem ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Ústí nad Labem II a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ústí nad Labem II v Slavoj Vyšehrad~~2.37 – 1.88

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 10~~16 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ústí nad Labem II win	49%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Slavoj Vyšehrad win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II or draw	69%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II clean sheet	16%	–	–
Slavoj Vyšehrad clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.6 2.6 1 3.4 6.7 5.9 3.7 2 4.1 7.4 6.7 4.2 2.0 3 3.2 5.8 5.3 3.3 4 3.5 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ústí nad Labem II down, Slavoj Vyšehrad across0–5 goals a side shown (94.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Ústí nad Labem II at home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Slavoj Vyšehrad away: 1.83 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Ústí nad Labem II, 1.88 for Slavoj Vyšehrad. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II

LLDLDL2–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–6

SLAVOJ VYŠEHRAD

DLLLLW2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–5 · 2–4 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	11	+14	25
2	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Tempo Praha	11	+4	17
8	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
9	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
10	Slaný	11	+8	15
11	Štětí	11	0	15
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14
13	Slavoj Vyšehrad	11	−11	10
14	Ostrov	11	−13	10
15	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	11	−24	6