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Tempo Praha v Meteor Praha

Tempo Praha

4–2Full time

Meteor Praha

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Tempo Praha 4–2 Meteor Praha TEMPO PRAHA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tempo Praha win~~54%

~~The market said~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.313

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.362

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tempo Praha win at 54%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Tempo Praha 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–21–24
1′KICK-OFF Tempo Praha v Meteor Praha
4′We said Tempo Praha at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–14–11
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Tempo Praha 1–0 Meteor Praha
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 76% now
5′GOAL DISALLOWED · 5' Tempo Praha
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 54% now
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Tempo Praha 1–0 Meteor Praha
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 76% now
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Tempo Praha 1–1 Meteor Praha
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 53% now
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Tempo Praha 2–1 Meteor Praha
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 75% now
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 51% now
30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 49–27–24
33′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 48–28–24
34′Little has changed for our model: Tempo Praha 54% before kick-off, 47% now. 2–2 · 47–28–24
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
45′HALF-TIME Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Tempo Praha
45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Meteor Praha
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
46′SECOND HALF Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
49′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 2–2 · 42–35–23
50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Tempo Praha
50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Meteor Praha
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
56′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–39–22
60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Tempo Praha win 37%)
64′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
64′Goalless on 64′ when we expected about 3.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–46–20
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Tempo Praha
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Meteor Praha
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Tempo Praha 2–2 Meteor Praha
71′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–54–17
76′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–14
76′We said Tempo Praha at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 3–2 · 86–13–1
76′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 86–13–1
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Tempo Praha 3–2 Meteor Praha
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 86% now
76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Tempo Praha win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
81′We said Tempo Praha at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Tempo Praha win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
88′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
88′We said Tempo Praha at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
90′We said Tempo Praha at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
90′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Tempo Praha 4–2 Meteor Praha
92′We said Tempo Praha at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
FTFULL TIME Tempo Praha 4–2 Meteor Praha
FTTempo Praha 4–2 Meteor Praha · Tempo Praha win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tempo Praha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tempo Praha 54%, draw 21%, Meteor Praha 24%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Tempo Praha v Meteor PrahaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tempo Praha win54%

Draw21%

Meteor Praha win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tempo Praha

Meteor Praha

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tempo praha winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off

54% The market51%

Us54%

~~Market~~51%

We make Tempo Praha a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tempo Praha v Meteor Praha~~2.14 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 16~~9 v 7

~~The market · Tempo Praha win~~51% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tempo Praha win The market, margin stripped

Published at 56%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tempo Praha win	54%	51%	+3
Draw	21%	24%	−3
Meteor Praha win	24%	25%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	67%	64%	+3
Both teams to score	65%	64%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	86%	81%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	46%	44%	+2
Tempo Praha or draw	76%	75%	+1
Tempo Praha clean sheet	26%	–	–
Meteor Praha clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.6 4.0 2.9 1 6.3 9.0 6.0 2.8 2 6.8 9.1 6.2 2.9 3 4.8 6.4 4.4 2.0 4 2.6 3.5 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tempo Praha down, Meteor Praha across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tempo Praha at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Meteor Praha away: 1.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for Tempo Praha, 1.37 for Meteor Praha. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MET 1–2 TEM · TEM 3–1 MET · TEM 1–2 MET · MET 3–4 TEM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept

TEMPO PRAHA

LLWLWD1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 2–2

METEOR PRAHA

DWLWWW2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 7–2 · 3–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	10	−10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6