Štětí v Tempo Praha prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha TEMPO PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tempo Praha win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.728

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tempo Praha win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Tempo Praha 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 32–22–46
1′KICK-OFF Štětí v Tempo Praha
5′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–0 · 54–20–25
5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 25% now
5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Štětí win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Tempo Praha win 46%)
10′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 55–21–24
22′GOAL DISALLOWED · 22' Štětí
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 43% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Tempo Praha win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Štětí win 57%)
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 21% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Štětí win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Tempo Praha win 43%)
28′GOAL DISALLOWED · 28' Štětí
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 42% now
28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Tempo Praha win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Štětí win 58%)
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 20% now
28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Štětí win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Tempo Praha win 42%)
30′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 58–23–19
31′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 1–0 · 58–23–19
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
45′HALF-TIME Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
46′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
46′SECOND HALF Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
60′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–23–9
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Tempo Praha win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
73′We said Tempo Praha at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Štětí
86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Štětí win 90%)
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Štětí win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 83%)
93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Štětí
93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Štětí win 97%)
FTFULL TIME Štětí 1–0 Tempo Praha
FTŠtětí 1–0 Tempo Praha · Tempo Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tempo Praha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Štětí 32%, draw 22%, Tempo Praha 46%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Štětí v Tempo PrahaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Štětí win32%

Draw22%

Tempo Praha win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Štětí

Tempo Praha

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Tempo Praha	11	+4	17
11	Štětí	11	0	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tempo praha winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Tempo Praha a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Štětí v Tempo Praha~~1.59 – 1.96

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 17~~11 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Štětí win	32%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tempo Praha win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Štětí or draw	54%	–	–
Štětí clean sheet	15%	–	–
Tempo Praha clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.4 5.5 5.5 3.6 1 4.4 9.2 8.5 5.5 2.8 2 3.7 7.0 6.7 4.3 2.2 3 3.7 3.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Štětí down, Tempo Praha across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Štětí at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tempo Praha away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Štětí, 1.96 for Tempo Praha. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~TEM 2–1 STE · STE 1–1 TEM · TEM 3–2 STE · STE 0–3 TEM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

ŠTĚTÍ

DWWDDW2–2 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 4–1

TEMPO PRAHA

LWLWDW1–2 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	11	+14	25
2	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Tempo Praha	11	+4	17
8	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
9	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
10	Slaný	11	+8	15
11	Štětí	11	0	15
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14
13	Slavoj Vyšehrad	11	−11	10
14	Ostrov	11	−13	10
15	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	11	−24	6