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Štětí v Karlovy Vary

Štětí

2–2Full time

Karlovy Vary

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:11

Štětí 2–2 Karlovy Vary KARLOVY VARY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karlovy Vary win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.917

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Štětí win34%

Draw22%

Karlovy Vary win44%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karlovy vary winPublished 10 Oct 13:47

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Karlovy Vary a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Štětí win	34%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Karlovy Vary win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Štětí or draw	56%	–	–
Štětí clean sheet	15%	–	–
Karlovy Vary clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.3 5.3 5.2 3.3 1 4.6 9.1 8.3 5.3 2.6 2 3.9 7.2 6.7 4.3 2.1 3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Štětí down, Karlovy Vary across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,257 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Štětí at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Karlovy Vary away: 2.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Štětí, 1.93 for Karlovy Vary. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~STE 1–2 KAR · KAR 0–0 STE · STE 0–2 KAR · KAR 1–0 STE

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B

ŠTĚTÍ

LLDWWD1–5 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–1

KARLOVY VARY

LLWWLL1–2 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	9	+19	22
2	Chomutov	9	+12	21
3	Újezd Praha 4	9	+3	17
4	Rapid Psáry	9	+8	16
5	Baník Sokolov	9	+7	15
6	Brandýs nad Labem	9	+4	15
7	Tempo Praha	9	+2	13
8	Meteor Praha	9	−1	13
9	Slovan Velvary	9	−5	13
10	Karlovy Vary	9	+2	12
11	Slaný	9	+5	11
12	Štětí	9	−3	11
13	Ostrov	9	−7	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	9	−12	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	9	−16	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	9	−18	5