Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 4. liga - Divizie B › Sokol Hostouň v Chomutov

Back
Czech Republic flag

Sokol Hostouň v Chomutov

Sokol Hostouň
1–3Full time
Chomutov

4. liga - Divizie B · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Vojtecha Zeithamla

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17
Sokol Hostouň 1–3 Chomutov SOKOL HOSTOUŇ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sokol Hostouň win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.766

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sokol Hostouň win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sokol Hostouň 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sokol Hostouň v Chomutov
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Sokol Hostouň 0–0 Chomutov
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Sokol Hostouň 0–0 Chomutov
  6. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Sokol Hostouň win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
  7. 50′We said Sokol Hostouň at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–24–64
  8. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Sokol Hostouň 0–1 Chomutov
  9. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Sokol Hostouň win: 47% at kick-off, 12% now
  10. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Chomutov win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Sokol Hostouň win 12%)
  11. 57′We said Sokol Hostouň at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
  12. 59′We said Sokol Hostouň at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–44–23 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  13. 60′We said Sokol Hostouň at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–92
  14. 60′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–2 · 2–7–92
  15. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Sokol Hostouň 0–2 Chomutov
  16. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Sokol Hostouň win: 47% at kick-off, 2% now
  17. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Sokol Hostouň 0–3 Chomutov
  18. 89′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  19. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Sokol Hostouň 1–3 Chomutov
  20. FTFULL TIME Sokol Hostouň 1–3 Chomutov
  21. FTSokol Hostouň 1–3 Chomutov · Sokol Hostouň win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sokol Hostouň are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sokol Hostouň 47%, draw 24%, Chomutov 30%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Sokol Hostouň v ChomutovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sokol Hostouň win47%
Draw24%
Chomutov win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

VenueStadion Vojtecha Zeithamla

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sokol Hostouň

Chomutov

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sokol Hostouň10+1822
2Chomutov10+1222

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sokol hostouň winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Sokol Hostouň a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sokol Hostouň v Chomutov1.78 – 1.37
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 22 v 221 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sokol Hostouň win47%––
Draw24%––
Chomutov win30%––
Over 2.5 goals60%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Sokol Hostouň or draw70%––
Sokol Hostouň clean sheet26%––
Chomutov clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 5.0 5.7 4.2 1 7.4 10.6 7.0 3.2 2 6.7 8.9 6.0 2.8 3 4.0 5.3 3.6 4 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sokol Hostouň down, Chomutov across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsSOK 0–0 CHO · CHO 0–2 SOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept

SOKOL HOSTOUŇ

WWWWDL4–2 · 2–0 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

CHOMUTOV

WLWWLD2–1 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sokol Hostouň10+1822
2Chomutov10+1222
3Újezd Praha 411+521
4Rapid Psáry11+1220
5Baník Sokolov11+618
6Brandýs nad Labem11+218
7Tempo Praha11+417
8Meteor Praha11016
9Slaný11+815
10Štětí11015
11Karlovy Vary11+214
12Slovan Velvary11−814
13Slavoj Vyšehrad11−1110
14Hvězda Cheb11−1310
15Ostrov11−1310
16Ústí nad Labem II11−246

The competition's standings before kick-off.