Slovan Velvary v Slavoj Vyšehrad prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Slovan Velvary 0–3 Slavoj Vyšehrad SLOVAN VELVARY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slovan Velvary win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.937

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Velvary are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovan Velvary 56%, draw 20%, Slavoj Vyšehrad 24%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Slovan Velvary v Slavoj VyšehradBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Slovan Velvary win56%

Draw20%

Slavoj Vyšehrad win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

VenueFootball pitch Velvary

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovan Velvary

Slavoj Vyšehrad

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slovan velvary winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Slovan Velvary a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovan Velvary v Slavoj Vyšehrad~~2.39 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 14 v 7~~10 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovan Velvary win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Slavoj Vyšehrad win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Slovan Velvary or draw	76%	–	–
Slovan Velvary clean sheet	23%	–	–
Slavoj Vyšehrad clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.6 3.0 2.4 1 4.8 7.6 5.4 2.8 2 5.8 8.4 6.2 3.2 3 4.6 6.6 4.9 2.5 4 2.8 4.0 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Velvary down, Slavoj Vyšehrad across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Slovan Velvary at home: 1.25 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). Slavoj Vyšehrad away: 1.60 scored, 4.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.39 goals for Slovan Velvary, 1.51 for Slavoj Vyšehrad. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept

SLOVAN VELVARY

LWLLLD1–3 · 2–1 · 1–5 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–0

SLAVOJ VYŠEHRAD

WDLLLL4–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–5 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	10	−10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6