Slaný v Ostrov prediction · 4. liga - Divizie B

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Slaný 4–0 Ostrov SLANÝ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slaný win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.280

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slaný are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slaný 57%, draw 22%, Ostrov 22%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Slaný v OstrovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Slaný win57%

Draw22%

Ostrov win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slaný

Ostrov

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Slaný	11	+8	15
14	Ostrov	11	−13	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slaný winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Slaný a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slaný v Ostrov~~2.07 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 10~~10 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slaný win	57%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Ostrov win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Slaný or draw	78%	–	–
Slaný clean sheet	31%	–	–
Ostrov clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.5 4.4 2.8 1 7.8 9.8 5.6 2.3 2 8.1 9.4 5.6 2.3 3 5.6 6.4 3.8 4 3.0 3.4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slaný down, Ostrov across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.12 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slaný at home: 2.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Ostrov away: 1.17 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Slaný, 1.19 for Ostrov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.12

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SLA 0–4 OST · OST 2–0 SLA · SLA 1–0 OST · OST 2–2 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

SLANÝ

WLLWWD2–0 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–1

OSTROV

LLWWLL1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	11	+14	25
2	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Tempo Praha	11	+4	17
8	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
9	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
10	Slaný	11	+8	15
11	Štětí	11	0	15
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14
13	Slavoj Vyšehrad	11	−11	10
14	Ostrov	11	−13	10
15	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	11	−24	6