Rapid Psáry v Slovan Velvary prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Rapid Psáry 3–1 Slovan Velvary RAPID PSÁRY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rapid Psáry win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.166

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rapid Psáry are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rapid Psáry 67%, draw 18%, Slovan Velvary 15%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Rapid Psáry v Slovan VelvaryBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Rapid Psáry win67%

Draw18%

Slovan Velvary win15%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rapid Psáry

Slovan Velvary

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rapid psáry winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Rapid Psáry a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rapid Psáry v Slovan Velvary~~2.42 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 20 v 14~~4 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rapid Psáry win	67%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Slovan Velvary win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Rapid Psáry or draw	85%	–	–
Rapid Psáry clean sheet	36%	–	–
Slovan Velvary clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.8 3.2 1 7.6 8.2 4.1 2 9.2 9.2 4.8 3 7.3 7.3 3.8 4 4.5 4.5 2.3 5 2.3 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Rapid Psáry down, Slovan Velvary across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Rapid Psáry at home: 3.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Velvary away: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.42 goals for Rapid Psáry, 1.03 for Slovan Velvary. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

RAPID PSÁRY

LWWDWD1–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 2–2

SLOVAN VELVARY

WLLLDL2–1 · 1–5 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	11	+14	25
2	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Tempo Praha	11	+4	17
8	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
9	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
10	Slaný	11	+8	15
11	Štětí	11	0	15
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14
13	Slavoj Vyšehrad	11	−11	10
14	Ostrov	11	−13	10
15	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	11	−24	6