Ostrov v Hvězda Cheb prediction · 4. liga - Divizie B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OstrovDrawHvězda Cheb

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ostrov 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ostrov are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ostrov 64%, draw 18%, Hvězda Cheb 18%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Ostrov v Hvězda ChebBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Ostrov win64%

Draw18%

Hvězda Cheb win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup B · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ostrov

Hvězda Cheb

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

Last match: 23 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
15	Ostrov	12	−17	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ostrov winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Ostrov a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ostrov v Hvězda Cheb~~2.61 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 10 v 10~~15 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ostrov win	64%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Hvězda Cheb win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Ostrov or draw	82%	–	–
Ostrov clean sheet	27%	–	–
Hvězda Cheb clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.4 2.6 1 5.1 7.0 4.5 2.0 2 6.6 8.5 5.6 2.5 3 5.6 7.2 4.8 2.2 4 3.7 4.7 3.1 5 2.0 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Ostrov down, Hvězda Cheb across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,280 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.9% of games this season, across 95 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ostrov at home: 1.83 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hvězda Cheb away: 0.83 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.61 goals for Ostrov, 1.34 for Hvězda Cheb. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~OST 4–0 HVE · HVE 1–0 OST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 19 Sept

OSTROV

LWWLLL2–3 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 0–4

HVĚZDA CHEB

LLDLWL1–3 · 2–7 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 6–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	12	+15	28
2	Újezd Praha 4	12	+6	24
3	Rapid Psáry	12	+14	23
4	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
5	Slaný	12	+12	18
6	Baník Sokolov	12	+5	18
7	Brandýs nad Labem	12	+1	18
8	Štětí	12	+1	18
9	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
10	Tempo Praha	12	+3	17
11	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
12	Slovan Velvary	12	−10	14
13	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	12	−14	10
15	Ostrov	12	−17	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	12	−21	9