Meteor Praha v Sokol Hostouň prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Meteor PrahaDrawSokol Hostouň

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Sokol Hostouň 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Sokol Hostouň just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Meteor Praha 38%, draw 22%, Sokol Hostouň 40%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Meteor Praha v Sokol HostouňBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Meteor Praha win38%

Draw22%

Sokol Hostouň win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Meteor Praha

Sokol Hostouň

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
10	Meteor Praha	11	0	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sokol hostouň winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Sokol Hostouň a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Meteor Praha v Sokol Hostouň~~1.83 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 22~~10 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meteor Praha win	38%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sokol Hostouň win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Meteor Praha or draw	60%	–	–
Meteor Praha clean sheet	16%	–	–
Sokol Hostouň clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.1 4.5 4.4 2.7 1 4.5 8.8 7.7 4.8 2.3 2 4.3 7.6 6.9 4.2 2.0 3 2.6 4.6 4.2 2.6 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meteor Praha down, Sokol Hostouň across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Meteor Praha at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sokol Hostouň away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Meteor Praha, 1.86 for Sokol Hostouň. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

METEOR PRAHA

WLWWWL2–0 · 0–1 · 7–2 · 3–2 · 3–0 · 2–4

SOKOL HOSTOUŇ

WWWDLL2–0 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chomutov	11	+14	25
2	Újezd Praha 4	12	+6	24
3	Sokol Hostouň	11	+16	22
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	12	+5	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Štětí	12	+1	18
8	Karlovy Vary	12	+3	17
9	Tempo Praha	12	+3	17
10	Meteor Praha	11	0	16
11	Slaný	11	+8	15
12	Slovan Velvary	11	−8	14
13	Ostrov	11	−13	10
14	Hvězda Cheb	12	−14	10
15	Slavoj Vyšehrad	12	−14	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	12	−21	9