Meteor Praha v Ostrov prediction · 4. liga - Divizie B

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:11

Meteor Praha 3–0 Ostrov METEOR PRAHA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Meteor Praha win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.380

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Meteor Praha win at 50%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Meteor Praha 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–23–27
1′KICK-OFF Meteor Praha v Ostrov
7′Little has changed for our model: Meteor Praha 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Meteor Praha 1–0 Ostrov
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Meteor Praha 1–0 Ostrov
45′HALF-TIME Meteor Praha 1–0 Ostrov
46′SECOND HALF Meteor Praha 1–0 Ostrov
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Meteor Praha 1–0 Ostrov
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Meteor Praha 2–0 Ostrov
FTFULL TIME Meteor Praha 3–0 Ostrov
FTMeteor Praha 3–0 Ostrov · Meteor Praha win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Meteor Praha win50%

Draw23%

Ostrov win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Meteor Praha

Ostrov

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Meteor Praha	9	−1	13
13	Ostrov	9	−7	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · meteor praha winPublished 11 Oct 09:04

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Meteor Praha a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meteor Praha win	50%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Ostrov win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Meteor Praha or draw	73%	–	–
Meteor Praha clean sheet	27%	–	–
Ostrov clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.7 5.2 3.7 1 7.4 10.3 6.6 3.0 2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.7 3 4.4 5.7 3.8 4 2.1 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meteor Praha down, Ostrov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,264 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.5% of games this season, across 79 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 2.88 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Meteor Praha at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Ostrov away: 1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Meteor Praha, 1.33 for Ostrov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~OST 2–3 MET · MET 1–1 OST · OST 2–0 MET · MET 1–0 OST

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B

METEOR PRAHA

LDWLWW1–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 7–2 · 3–2

OSTROV

WDLLWW3–1 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	10	+5	20
4	Rapid Psáry	10	+12	19
5	Baník Sokolov	10	+8	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	10	0	15
7	Slaný	10	+8	14
8	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
9	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
10	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
11	Meteor Praha	9	−1	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	9	−7	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6