Karlovy Vary v Slaný prediction · 4. liga - Divizie B

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Karlovy Vary 1–1 Slaný KARLOVY VARY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Karlovy Vary win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.939

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karlovy Vary are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karlovy Vary 49%, draw 22%, Slaný 29%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Karlovy Vary v SlanýBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Karlovy Vary win49%

Draw22%

Slaný win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

VenueStadion Drahovice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karlovy Vary

Slaný

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karlovy vary winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Karlovy Vary a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Karlovy Vary v Slaný~~2.06 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 14~~11 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karlovy Vary win	49%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Slaný win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Karlovy Vary or draw	71%	–	–
Karlovy Vary clean sheet	22%	–	–
Slaný clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.2 4.1 3.4 1 5.4 8.9 6.6 3.5 2 5.7 8.6 6.6 3.5 3 3.9 5.9 4.5 2.4 4 2.0 3.1 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karlovy Vary down, Slaný across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Karlovy Vary at home: 3.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Slaný away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.06 goals for Karlovy Vary, 1.56 for Slaný. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~KAR 2–2 SLA · SLA 2–2 KAR · KAR 2–0 SLA · SLA 4–0 KAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept

KARLOVY VARY

LWWLLD3–4 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–2

SLANÝ

LWLLWW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	10	−10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6