Hvězda Cheb v Ústí nad Labem II prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Hvězda Cheb 6–0 Ústí nad Labem II ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ústí nad Labem II win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.799

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ústí nad Labem II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hvězda Cheb 29%, draw 20%, Ústí nad Labem II 51%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Hvězda Cheb v Ústí nad Labem IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hvězda Cheb win29%

Draw20%

Ústí nad Labem II win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hvězda Cheb

Ústí nad Labem II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ústí nad labem ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Ústí nad Labem II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hvězda Cheb v Ústí nad Labem II~~1.75 – 2.35

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~15 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hvězda Cheb win	29%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Hvězda Cheb or draw	49%	–	–
Hvězda Cheb clean sheet	10%	–	–
Ústí nad Labem II clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.7%

0123450 2.1 3.9 4.7 3.6 2.2 1 2.9 7.1 7.7 6.0 3.5 2 2.7 5.9 6.6 5.1 3.0 3 3.5 3.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hvězda Cheb down, Ústí nad Labem II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Hvězda Cheb at home: 1.67 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Ústí nad Labem II away: 0.83 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Hvězda Cheb, 2.35 for Ústí nad Labem II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 5 Sept

HVĚZDA CHEB

LLLLDL1–5 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–7 · 1–1 · 0–3

ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM II

WLLDLD3–1 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	11	+5	21
4	Rapid Psáry	11	+12	20
5	Baník Sokolov	11	+6	18
6	Brandýs nad Labem	11	+2	18
7	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	10	−10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6